America Divided
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« on: November 19, 2019, 09:30:03 AM »
I'll start this timeline, and have an interesting idea about it. It'll be directed towards the future and 2024/2028 elections, but will cover senate / gubernational / some congressional elections, primaries and presidential elections. Have fun reading it!
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2019, 09:54:11 AM »
17/12/2019

Buttigieg surges in polls

NYT has released a poll for the first four states of the election and California and Texas, and in this poll it shows that Buttigieg surges in the polls.

IA:
Pete Buttigieg 28
Elizabeth Warren 22
Joe Biden 15
Bernie Sanders 12
Amy Klobuchar 10
Tulsi Gabbard 3
Andrew Yang 3
Kamala Harris 2
Others 5%

NH:
Elizabeth Warren 22
Joe Biden 22
Pete Buttigieg 21
Bernie Sanders 18
Tulsi Gabbard 6
Andrew Yang 4
Tom Steyer 2
Andrew Yang 2
Others 3

NV:
Bernie Sanders 20
Elizabeth Warren 19
Joe Biden 19
Pete Buttigieg 17
Kamala Harris 4
Andrew Yang 4
Tulsi Gabbard 3
Others 4

SC:
Joe Biden 32
Bernie Sanders 18
Elizabeth Warren 15
Pete Buttigieg 10
Cory Booker 4
Kamala Harris 4
Tulsi Gabbard 3
Michael Bloomberg 3
Deval Patrick 2
Others 9

TX:
Biden 25%
Sanders 21%
Warren 20%
Buttigieg 9%
Castro 4%
Harris 3%
Yang 2%
Others 6%

CA:
Warren 26
Sanders 21
Biden 20
Buttigieg 12
Harris 7
Yang 6
Others 8
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2019, 10:03:02 AM »
Biden and Sanders lead in battleground states. Trump leads against Warren and Buttigieg

23/12 NYT / Siena released a new series of polls from battleground states

MI:
Biden vs Trump 45 - 45
Sanders vs Trump 47 - 45
Warren vs Trump 43 - 47
Buttigieg vs Trump 39 - 45

WI:
Biden vs Trump 46 - 45
Sanders vs Trump 45 - 46
Warren vs Trump 41 - 47
Buttigieg vs Trump 40 - 45

PA:
Biden vs Trump 47 - 43
Sanders vs Trump 46 - 45
Warren vs Trump 44 - 47
Buttigieg vs Trump 38 - 46

AZ:
Biden vs Trump 48 - 46
Sanders vs Trump 47 - 47
Warren vs Trump 45 - 48
Buttigieg vs Trump 40 - 45

FL:
Biden vs Trump 46 - 46
Sanders vs Trump 44 - 47
Warren vs Trump 43 - 47
Buttigieg vs Trump 39 - 45

GA:
Biden vs Trump 49 - 44
Sanders vs Trump 45 - 44
Warren vs Trump 43 - 46
Buttigieg vs Trump 37 - 45

NC
Biden vs Trump 47 - 44
Sanders vs Trump 46 - 44
Warren vs Trump 43 - 45
Buttigieg vs Trump 39 - 43

IA:
Biden vs Trump 42 - 47
Sanders 39 - 46
Warren vs Trump 38 - 45
Buttigieg vs Trump 40 - 45

NYT / Siena also released primary polls from the states.

IA:
Pete Buttigieg 26
Elizabeth Warren 23
Joe Biden 17
Bernie Sanders 14
Amy Klobuchar 6
Andrew Yang 3
Tulsi Gabbard 3
Others 8

NC:
Joe Biden 34
Bernie Sanders 22
Elizabeth Warren 15
Pete Buttigieg 10
Others 19

GA:
Joe Biden 44
Bernie Sanders 20
Elizabeth Warren 17
Pete Buttigieg 7
Others 12

FL:
Joe Biden 37
Bernie Sanders 18
Elizabeth Warren 16
Pete Buttigieg 12
Others 17

AZ:
Elizabeth Warren 24
Joe Biden 23
Bernie Sanders 20
Pete Buttigieg 12
Others 22

PA:
Joe Biden 30
Bernie Sanders 21
Elizabeth Warren 15
Pete Buttigieg 13
Andrew Yang 7
Others 15

WI:
Joe Biden 24
Pete Buttigieg 22
Bernie Sanders 19
Elizabeth Warren 18
Others 17

MI:
Bernie Sanders 27
Joe Biden 22
Elizabeth Warren 20
Pete Buttigieg 15
Andrew Yang 8
Others 7
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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Posts: 15,900
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Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #3 on: November 19, 2019, 04:07:59 PM »
8/1

Harris drops out of the race

11/1

Sestak drops out of the race

15/1

Bennet drops out of the race
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #4 on: November 19, 2019, 06:05:17 PM »
17/1

Two new polls released by CNN today.

IA:
Buttigieg 23
Warren 23
Biden 19
Sanders 15
Others 20

NH:
Warren 23
Buttigieg 23
Sanders 21
Biden 17
Others 16

Match-up releases

NH:
Warren - Trump 50 - 38
Biden - Trump 51 - 41
Sanders - Trump 53 - 40
Buttigieg - Trump 45 - 40

IA:
Warren - Trump 46 - 47
Biden - Trump 48 - 45
Sanders - Trump 47 - 47
Buttigieg - Trump 44 - 44
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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« Reply #5 on: November 19, 2019, 06:14:15 PM »
Buttigieg wins Iowa Caucus

Pete Buttigieg 29.3%
Elizabeth Warren 22.8%
Joe Biden 17.6%
Bernie Sanders 15.2%
Amy Klobuchar 5.6
Andrew Yang 4.2
Tulsi Gabbard 3.6
Cory Booker 2.1
Tom Steyer 1.4
Steve Bullock 1.1
Julian Castro 0.7
John Delaney 0.4
Deval Patrick 0.2
Wayne Messam 0.1
Marianne Williamson 0.1
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #6 on: November 19, 2019, 06:23:57 PM »
Bullock drops out of race, announces run for the seat in Montana

Delaney drops out after disappointing showing in Iowa

Patrick drops out after embarassing showing in Iowa

Booker drops out, while announcing his run to keep his senate seat

Williamson drops out, announces to run for the Green nomination

Castro says he'll stay in until Super Tuesday, despite bad showing in Iowa

Bloomberg rises in polls after campaign stops in Colorado
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #7 on: November 20, 2019, 02:44:32 PM »
Warren wins New Hampshire primary in a close race
Elizabeth Warren 22,1%
Pete Buttigieg 20,9%
Bernie Sanders 20,7%
Joe Biden 19,8%
Andrew Yang 5,9%
Tulsi Gabbard 4,2%
Amy Klobuchar 2,8%
Tom Steyer 2,7%
Julian Castro 0.9
Wayne Messam 0.0
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #8 on: November 20, 2019, 02:46:28 PM »
Messam drops out

Steyer drops out, says he'll focus on fundraising efforts for the nominated Democrat

Klobuchar drops out, endorses Biden
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #9 on: November 20, 2019, 03:00:24 PM »
Sanders win Nevada in close three battle-way race

Bernie Sanders 24,1%
Joe Biden 23,8%
Elizabeth Warren 23,5%
Pete Buttigieg 16,1%
Andrew Yang 8,2%
Tulsi Gabbard 3.1%
Julian Castro 1.2%
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #10 on: November 20, 2019, 03:02:14 PM »
Castro drops out of race after disappointed showing in Nevada

Biden desperately needs to win South Carolina, or he has no shot at the nomination, political experts say

Is Buttimentum over. Anderson Cooper from CNN discusses it on TV.
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #11 on: November 22, 2019, 12:38:17 PM »
Biden wins his first state: South Carolina
Joe Biden 34,9%
Bernie Sanders 25,7%
Elizabeth Warren 17,6%
Pete Buttigieg 13,2%
Andrew Yang 5,3%
Tulsi Gabbard 3,2%
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LastMcGovernite
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« Reply #12 on: November 23, 2019, 06:38:47 AM »
Interesting- and plausible- work! Please don't take a lack of comments as a lack of interest!
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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Posts: 15,900
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E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #13 on: November 23, 2019, 09:16:04 AM »
Biden wins Alabama with sizeable margin
Joe Biden 50,1%
Bernie Sanders 21,3%
Elizabeth Warren 11,9%
Pete Buttigieg 6,9%
Tulsi Gabbard 5,6%
Andrew Yang 5,2%

Biden wins Arkansas with large margin
Joe Biden 44,3%
Bernie Sanders 24,2%
Pete Buttigieg 13,1%
Elizabeth Warren 12,2%
Andrew Yang 3,4%
Tulsi Gabbard 1,8%

Sanders wins California in a close race
Bernie Sanders 25,9%
Joe Biden 25,1%
Elizabeth Warren 23,9%
Pete Buttigieg 15,0%
Andrew Yang 6,0%
Tulsi Gabbard 4,1%

Sanders wins Colorado with comfortable margin

Bernie Sanders 33,1%
Joe Biden 26,4%
Elizabeth Warren 22,0%
Pete Buttigieg 8,4%
Andrew Yang 6,1%
Tulsi Gabbard 4,0%

Democrats abroad choose narrowly for Warren
Elizabeth Warren 29,1
Bernie Sanders 28,2
Joe Biden 26,0
Andrew Yang 8,2
Pete Buttigieg 6,9
Tulsi Gabbard 1,6
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17

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« Reply #14 on: November 24, 2019, 11:10:32 AM »
Warren is one and done here in Cali
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #15 on: November 24, 2019, 05:43:47 PM »
I'm guessing Warren's momentum from winning NH gets blunted pretty fast after Nevada?

Interesting and plausible timeline
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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Posts: 15,900
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Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #16 on: December 05, 2019, 09:05:43 AM »
Sanders wins Maine narrowly

Bernie Sanders 27,1%
Joe Biden 26,8%
Pete Buttigieg 19,6%
Elizabeth Warren 19,5%
Andrew Yang 5,1
Tulsi Gabbard 1,9%

Warren wins her homestate of Massachussets

Elizabeth Warren 30,1%
Bernie Sanders 26,4%
Joe Biden 25,2%
Pete Buttigieg 13,3%
Andrew Yang 3,8%
Tulsi Gabbard 1,2%
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Nightcore Nationalist
Okthisisnotepic.
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« Reply #17 on: December 05, 2019, 10:36:05 AM »
In!
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