The Economist/YouGov: Biden 26, Warren 21, Sanders 14

[Skye]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1169235539872104449

Full poll: https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/3gj4ffirhi/econTabReport.pdf#page=126&zoom=100,0,126

[Pheurton Skeurto]

🤪🤪🤪Lizmentum🤪🤪🤪

[Pollster]

Is this the only recurring public poll that is polling likely voters?

[Zaybay]

Similar to last week's.

[Sir Mohamed]

Harris must get her act together if she wants to have a shot. I'm starting to lose hope. This will be a Biden v. Warren race it seems.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Warren is in 2nd now, it looks like the Sanders people are going for Warren, now, as Sanders fall to a distant third

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

de Blasio at 2%!!

[SN2903]

LOL @ Harris.
Go Tulsi!

[Mopsus]

de Blasio at 2%!!

Yang at 3! FANTASTIC poll! Someone page EricOslo!

[Mr. Morden]

men:
Biden 23%
Warren 19%
Sanders 13%

women:
Biden 28%
Warren 22%
Sanders 14%

age 18-29:
Warren 23%
Sanders 21%
Biden 13%

age 65+:
Biden 53%
Warren 16%
Buttigieg 4%
Harris 4%
[And Sanders tied with others at 1%.]

white:
Warren 28%
Biden 18%
Sanders 14%

black:
Biden 46%
Sanders 11%
Warren 9%

Hispanic:
Biden 30%
Sanders 14%
Warren 12%

Midwest:
Biden 23%
Sanders 22%
Warren 22%
Buttigieg 5%

Northeast:
Biden 28%
Warren 27%
Sanders 11%
de Blasio 7%

South:
Biden 31%
Warren 16%
Buttigieg 7%
Sanders 7%

West:
Warren 23%
Sanders 19%
Biden 18%
Buttigieg 7%

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Is this the only recurring public poll that is polling likely voters?

Is that why Warren has more support than in other polls?

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Why are the polls so different on Warren vs Sanders...I really don't get it

[Pollster]

Is this the only recurring public poll that is polling likely voters?

Is that why Warren has more support than in other polls?

Very possible. Morning Consult, one of Warren's worst pollsters, polls only registered voters, whereas YouGov (one of her best) is a likely voter model. Change Research (by far her best) appears to poll likely voters at the state level but only registered in nationwide polls.

Also important to note that with likely voter samples, a lot of error can be attributed to assumptions and predictions made by the pollster regarding who will turn out. Whereas with registered voters, the universe is much more set in stone.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Is this the only recurring public poll that is polling likely voters?

Is that why Warren has more support than in other polls?

Very possible. Morning Consult, one of Warren's worst pollsters, polls only registered voters, whereas YouGov (one of her best) is a likely voter model. Change Research (by far her best) appears to poll likely voters at the state level but only registered in nationwide polls.

Also important to note that with likely voter samples, a lot of error can be attributed to assumptions and predictions made by the pollster regarding who will turn out. Whereas with registered voters, the universe is much more set in stone.

Yes, that would make sense. Her base seems to be made up of the type of voters who say they’re likely to vote and are more committed to turn out (especially to a caucus).

[SN2903]

Harris will drop out before Iowa

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Harris will drop out before Iowa

Not before California.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

That NY factor for De Blasio

[Mr. Morden]

Warren’s the only candidate (barely) not underwater on favorability, according to this poll:

fav/unfav % among all voters:
Warren 39/39% for +/-0
Yang 27/28% for -1%
Sanders 41/44% for -3%
Biden 40/45% for -5%
Booker 30/36% for -6%
Castro 27/33% for -6%
Bennet 16/23% for -7%
Buttigieg 28/35% for -7%
Harris 33/41% for -8%
Trump 43/52% for -9%
Bullock 14/24% for -10%
Messam 9/19% for -10%
Weld 13/23% for -10%
Gabbard 21/32% for -11%
O’Rourke 28/39% for -11%
Delaney 15/27% for -12%
Klobuchar 20/33% for -13%
Ryan 17/30% for -13%
Sestak 10/23% for -13%
Steyer 14/28% for -14%
Williamson 17/32% for -15%
Schultz 13/30% for -17%
de Blasio 17/45% for -28%

[Coastal Elitist]

Harris will drop out before Iowa

nah her ego is to big

[SN2903]

Harris will drop out before Iowa

nah her ego is to big

You could be right

[eric82oslo]

Warren’s the only candidate (barely) not underwater on favorability, according to this poll:

fav/unfav % among all voters:
Warren 39/39% for +/-0
Yang 27/28% for -1%

It's quite something that Yang is second most popular of all 23 candidates polled.

Impressive of Warren to beat him though. It goes against the cliché that she's unelectable. Still surprised 22% of voters don't have an opinion on her yet. Clearly they weren't pushing the respondents to give an answer.