Colorado (Emerson): All Democrats lead Trump
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 16, 2024, 10:02:55 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Colorado (Emerson): All Democrats lead Trump
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Colorado (Emerson): All Democrats lead Trump  (Read 1624 times)
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 20, 2019, 07:21:21 AM »

Biden 55
Trump 45

Sanders 55
Trump 45

Buttigieg 55
Trump 45

Warren 53
Trump 46

Harris 51
Trump 48

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/colorado-2020-sanders-biden-and-warren-lead-democratic-field-democrats-look-to-gain-senate-seat
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,203


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 20, 2019, 07:21:51 AM »

How is Buttigieg beating him by the same % that Biden and Sanders are despite having like 5% in the primary poll?
Logged
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 20, 2019, 07:26:49 AM »

How is Buttigieg beating him by the same % that Biden and Sanders are despite having like 5% in the primary poll?

Good question, but Colorado is one of the three or so states with the most highly educated population, which tend to like Pete particularly well. It's also more wealthy than the average state, another strong indicator for Pete support. Finally, it's slightly more white, and far less black, than the average state.
Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 20, 2019, 09:04:47 AM »

The state is clearly likely D. I doubt that Trump will lose by double digits but the state is no longer a swing state
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 20, 2019, 09:37:53 AM »

Obviously Safe D, but it’s pretty amusing that Trump is losing by less than Gardner.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,500
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 20, 2019, 09:49:54 AM »

These leads are obviously not gonna happen, but good news. State will be won anyways, since Hillary won it
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,454
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 20, 2019, 03:56:28 PM »

CO is almost in Safe D territory at this point.
Logged
cvparty
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,099
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 20, 2019, 04:19:39 PM »

wow is this the first poll where buttigieg doesn't do the worst against trump
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,430
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 20, 2019, 07:41:01 PM »

And yet Bennet and Hickenlooper still call their own state "purple."
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 24, 2019, 07:36:18 PM »

Likely D.  2020 is the last time Colorado will even remotely be up for grabs.  It'll be Safe D in 2024.  Same goes for Nevada and Virginia.

Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 24, 2019, 10:10:07 PM »

Likely D.  2020 is the last time Colorado will even remotely be up for grabs.  It'll be Safe D in 2024.  Same goes for Nevada and Virginia.



This exactly. I've been saying for a while that Colorado will be a Safe Democratic state by the mid to late 2020s. And the same is true for both Nevada and Virginia. Demographic trends are terrible for the Republicans in those three states, with young, nonwhite, and college-educated voters fueling their movement towards the Democrats.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,871
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 25, 2019, 01:48:14 PM »

Likely D.  2020 is the last time Colorado will even remotely be up for grabs.  It'll be Safe D in 2024.  Same goes for Nevada and Virginia.



This exactly. I've been saying for a while that Colorado will be a Safe Democratic state by the mid to late 2020s. And the same is true for both Nevada and Virginia. Demographic trends are terrible for the Republicans in those three states, with young, nonwhite, and college-educated voters fueling their movement towards the Democrats.

Nevada trends do not obviously favor Democrats.  It will likely remain capable of electing Republicans statewide in favorable environments. 
Logged
TML
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,532


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 25, 2019, 02:36:02 PM »

Likely D.  2020 is the last time Colorado will even remotely be up for grabs.  It'll be Safe D in 2024.  Same goes for Nevada and Virginia.



This exactly. I've been saying for a while that Colorado will be a Safe Democratic state by the mid to late 2020s. And the same is true for both Nevada and Virginia. Demographic trends are terrible for the Republicans in those three states, with young, nonwhite, and college-educated voters fueling their movement towards the Democrats.

Nevada trends do not obviously favor Democrats.  It will likely remain capable of electing Republicans statewide in favorable environments. 

But those “favorable environments” would not exist if the Republican Party continues to be anti-Latino.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 26, 2019, 09:40:02 AM »

Likely D.  2020 is the last time Colorado will even remotely be up for grabs.  It'll be Safe D in 2024.  Same goes for Nevada and Virginia.

Virginia is already Safe D.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 26, 2019, 10:02:54 AM »

Likely D.  2020 is the last time Colorado will even remotely be up for grabs.  It'll be Safe D in 2024.  Same goes for Nevada and Virginia.



This exactly. I've been saying for a while that Colorado will be a Safe Democratic state by the mid to late 2020s. And the same is true for both Nevada and Virginia. Demographic trends are terrible for the Republicans in those three states, with young, nonwhite, and college-educated voters fueling their movement towards the Democrats.

Nevada trends do not obviously favor Democrats.  It will likely remain capable of electing Republicans statewide in favorable environments. 

Perhaps, but there is no question that it will be very difficult for Republicans to carry it at the presidential level in the future. And you discount the fact that the state's Hispanic population continues to grow, and that Republicans are not doing well enough with this group as they could be.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,328
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 26, 2019, 05:05:41 PM »
« Edited: August 26, 2019, 09:11:27 PM by Disloyal Jews for Warren »

While I think Nevada is close to being gone for Republicans, Colorado is already there.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,328
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 26, 2019, 05:50:00 PM »

While I think Nevada is close to being gone for Democrats, Colorado is already there.

Nevada trended R in both 2012 and 2016 and trended 5 points republican in 2018 for the house elections (only a 4 point swing to the dems).

It will be a Safe R state again in about 10 years.

Nearly spit out my drink at the last part. Thanks for the laugh, it brightened my day. Smiley
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,328
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 26, 2019, 09:10:55 PM »

While I think Nevada is close to being gone for Democrats, Colorado is already there.

Nevada trended R in both 2012 and 2016 and trended 5 points republican in 2018 for the house elections (only a 4 point swing to the dems).

It will be a Safe R state again in about 10 years.

Nearly spit out my drink at the last part. Thanks for the laugh, it brightened my day. Smiley

Me: *gives heavily cherry-picked evidence which ignores just about every other aspect of Nevada's recent voting patterns*
You: LOL no that’s stupid lol.

See you in 10 years when President DeSantis wins Nevada! Smiley

I'm sure Senators Angle, Heck, and Heller, as well as Governor Laxalt will all give him high-fives.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,922
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 28, 2019, 12:22:03 AM »

Colorado voted for the Republican nominee for President as late as 2004... so as with Virginia, it does not quite seem "Safe D". Like Virginia it never went for double-digits as did... uh, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in 2008.

 
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 28, 2019, 11:18:34 AM »

Colorado voted for the Republican nominee for President as late as 2004... so as with Virginia, it does not quite seem "Safe D". Like Virginia it never went for double-digits as did... uh, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in 2008.

 

I'll agree that Colorado isn't Safe Democratic yet, but it will be by the middle of the next decade, at the rate current trends are proceeding at.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.237 seconds with 13 queries.