If the 1992 Election was held in November of 1991 could Bush have 49 states

[OSR stands with Israel]

His approvals then were still in the upper 50s low 60s so if the election was held in November of 1991 is it possible say For Bush to win 49 states so against Clinton it would have been every state but Arkansas and obviously the District of Columbia

[Sir Mohamed]

Perhaps not 49 states, but at least 40 or so. But there are tons of examples like this: If 1988 was held in July instead of November, Mike Dukakis would have defeated HW. Reagan would have been in trouble in late 1982, Obama may have lost in late 2010 and most part of 2011. And HRC would have won if the election was held after the Access Hollywood Tape and before Comey letter in late October. Yup, history sometimes is decided by such factors.

[UWS]

Anyway, he would win re-election in a landslide.

[Matty]

Perhaps not 49 states, but at least 40 or so. But there are tons of examples like this: If 1988 was held in July instead of November, Mike Dukakis would have defeated HW. Reagan would have been in trouble in late 1982, Obama may have lost in late 2010 and most part of 2011. And HRC would have won if the election was held after the Access Hollywood Tape and before Comey letter in late October. Yup, history sometimes is decided by such factors.

At absolutely no point was Obama ever in danger of losing reelection.

Voters obviously overwhelming still held bush responsible for economic struggles in 2010 and 2011.

[morgankingsley]

Not 49. Maybe between 35-40

[RC]

Depends on whether Perot is in. I think he would split the vote just enough that it would break a few states to the Dems or even to himself.

[morgankingsley]

Depends on whether Perot is in. I think he would split the vote just enough that it would break a few states to the Dems or even to himself.

Yeah, I can see that since Perot just hated Bush anyways

Maybe he would win Maine, Nevada and Montana, which he probably would have won if he did not drop out anyways, and Alaska and Kansas if he was lucky

[OSR stands with Israel]

This is what I think the map would look like at the very least :

Bush gets to 423


I think median scenario would be this :

I could easily see WV , And  MN falling in a close to median scenario as well to Bush . WV cause even though it was solidly dem it voted for Republicans in landslide re-election years (IKE 1956, Nixon 1972, Reagan 1984) and MN wasn’t that much more dem than the nation in 92 than it was in the 80s.

[morgankingsley]

This is what I think the map would look like at the very least :

Bush gets to 423


I think median scenario would be this :

I could easily see WV , And  MN falling in a close to median scenario as well to Bush . WV cause even though it was solidly dem it voted for Republicans in landslide re-election years (IKE 1956, Nixon 1972, Reagan 1984) and MN wasn’t that much more dem than the nation in 92 than it was in the 80s.

These are more likely than 49 states