Change Research: all matchups are close
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  Change Research: all matchups are close
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Author Topic: Change Research: all matchups are close  (Read 1445 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: May 24, 2019, 04:51:26 PM »

Change Research, May 18-21, 2904 LV

Biden 47, Trump 46
Sanders 47, Trump 46
Warren 47, Trump 46
Harris 46, Trump 45
O'Rourke 46, Trump 46
Trump 46, Buttigieg 44
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2019, 04:53:37 PM »

Okay, Democrats clearly have the advantage
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #2 on: May 24, 2019, 05:16:56 PM »

Really a bad poll for dems, but undecided voters seem fairly D friendly
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Sestak
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« Reply #3 on: May 24, 2019, 05:19:59 PM »

So Biden, Sanders, Warren equally strong. Interesting.
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Buzz
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« Reply #4 on: May 29, 2019, 12:15:45 PM »

Much more accurate of a final result then what some of these lopsided polls are showing.
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Politician
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« Reply #5 on: May 29, 2019, 12:24:47 PM »

But muh "Biden is the most electable candidate"!
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Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
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« Reply #6 on: May 29, 2019, 12:27:11 PM »

Much more accurate of a final result then what some of these lopsided polls are showing.

How can you possibly say that when the election hasn't happened yet? lol
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Buzz
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« Reply #7 on: May 31, 2019, 12:57:09 PM »

Because this country is too divided for any one candidate to win by more than 7-8 points right now.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #8 on: May 31, 2019, 06:16:10 PM »

Because this country is too divided for any one candidate to win by more than 7-8 points right now.

7-8? I don't see a Democrat winning by more than 5 points. And Trump won't win the popular vote, so if he wins the election, it will be by -2 again for him at best.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #9 on: June 01, 2019, 05:12:05 PM »

Because this country is too divided for any one candidate to win by more than 7-8 points right now.

The 2018 Midterms called...
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #10 on: June 01, 2019, 06:44:22 PM »

Likely none of these except Sanders would be a Dem EC win, and even then I'm not sure.

None would be. The Democrat needs to win by three points at a minimum, and to be safe should also be at or above 50%.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: June 01, 2019, 09:11:02 PM »

279 electors is stacked against Trump with underwater approvals in MI/PA/WI and he has subpar approvals in IA and OH and VA and only one is needed to flip the electors from 266 to 272 for Dems.
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