Are Iowa and Ohio now red states?
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  Are Iowa and Ohio now red states?
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Poll
Question: Are they red states?
#1
No, neither
 
#2
Yes Ohio, not Iowa
 
#3
Yes Iowa, not Ohio
 
#4
Yes, both
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 151

Author Topic: Are Iowa and Ohio now red states?  (Read 9387 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #50 on: May 13, 2019, 05:25:25 PM »

They are conservative states now; however, Biden can win them back in 2020; as a result, setting up the stage for a Tim Ryan v. Portman showdown in 2022.


Biden will pick Bullock as Veep as he should.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #51 on: May 13, 2019, 06:10:38 PM »

No, neither.

Both pink-leaning states, Democrats should still put OH and IA on their campaign itinerary on the weekend of Oct. 31-Nov. 1, 2020.

I want to see Democrats in Cincy, Des Moines on November 2, 2020. 
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TML
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #52 on: May 13, 2019, 11:46:52 PM »

I expect that both states would be R+2-4 in the event of a narrow-to-modest Democratic win nationwide. Therefore, I think they are probably red-violet.
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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« Reply #53 on: May 14, 2019, 03:21:52 AM »

Yes, both.
I have never really understood why Iowa used to be a swing state. I believe it's solely because of its prerogative of being the first caucus state.
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andjey
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« Reply #54 on: May 14, 2019, 08:37:55 AM »

No, neither

IA and OH will vote for Biden in 2020 election
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #55 on: May 14, 2019, 11:29:53 AM »

No, neither

IA and OH will vote for Biden in 2020 election

Lol. And CO and VA will vote Trump
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #56 on: May 14, 2019, 11:32:57 AM »

They are conservative states now; however, Biden can win them back in 2020; as a result, setting up the stage for a Tim Ryan v. Portman showdown in 2022.


Biden will pick Bullock as Veep as he should.

You are so dumb that you don't even understand that if Biden is in the White House in 2022, the slim chance that Ryan would have to win this seat would go to zero
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #57 on: May 14, 2019, 11:37:22 AM »

Ohio is clearly a red state as of now and unless you consider CO as a swing state, it's very difficult to see why Ohio would be a swing state.

Iowa remains on the borderline of competitivness but it's not a true swing state anymore.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #58 on: May 14, 2019, 11:50:40 AM »

I know everyone thinks Ohio is just filled with Obama-Trump caricatures (which is hilarious, because if you were here in 2012 you'd know the narrative is that it's too cosmopolitan with all the metro areas to vote Republican!), but if Republicans face similar continued losses in suburban support, the state will narrow considerably.  In 2018, Brown lost the suburban vote while winning.  If Democrats start to win more suburban voters in Ohio (a MAJORITY of all voters in 2018), it will tighten up.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #59 on: May 14, 2019, 06:08:26 PM »

I know everyone thinks Ohio is just filled with Obama-Trump caricatures (which is hilarious, because if you were here in 2012 you'd know the narrative is that it's too cosmopolitan with all the metro areas to vote Republican!), but if Republicans face similar continued losses in suburban support, the state will narrow considerably.  In 2018, Brown lost the suburban vote while winning.  If Democrats start to win more suburban voters in Ohio (a MAJORITY of all voters in 2018), it will tighten up.

1. The vast majority of suburbs in Ohio are not trending either way or are trending R (Clermont, Lake, Medina, Fairfield) and the only ones which are trending D are very wealthy ones like New Albany or Dublin
2. Concerning the suburbs matter, even if Dems were to improve their numbers in a few suburban areas it would not be enough to overcome losses elsewhere, look at Indiana where dems are improving in suburbs around Indianpolis, the problem is that these gains are washed out by losses in rural areas and in southern Indiana
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