Is it plausable to say Wisconsin will be a GOP stronghold?
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  Is it plausable to say Wisconsin will be a GOP stronghold?
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Author Topic: Is it plausable to say Wisconsin will be a GOP stronghold?  (Read 1269 times)
Hatchet
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« on: April 04, 2019, 12:23:11 AM »

After last night's election Wisconsin is clearly trending Republican and going the way of Ohio. The driftless area will eventually go Republican soon. Waukesha County continues to vote very republican. I can't imagine Dane County trending democratic when the rest of the state is trending republican. Dane wull eventually start to trend R too. What do y'all think?I have no doubt that Trump will win the state again in 2020 and Republicans will win the state 2020 onward. It is no longer the progressive utopia it once was.
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TML
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« Reply #1 on: April 04, 2019, 12:30:10 AM »

Why don't you ask Senator Vukmir what she thinks?
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Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
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« Reply #2 on: April 04, 2019, 12:31:13 AM »

Possibly in the far off future, but for the foreseeable future it's going to be a swing state.


Also LOL at you thinking a 0.4% victory for a conservative in a Supreme Court race is indicative of anything.


Democrats won nearly every statewide office in Wisconsin in 2018, and Hillary Clickbait only lost the state by .07% in 2016.
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cvparty
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« Reply #3 on: April 04, 2019, 06:52:44 AM »

Democrats won nearly every statewide office in Wisconsin in 2018, and Hillary Clickbait only lost the state by .07% in 2016.
no
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Nyvin
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« Reply #4 on: April 04, 2019, 07:36:36 AM »
« Edited: April 04, 2019, 09:50:16 AM by Nyvin »

After last night's election Wisconsin is clearly trending Republican and going the way of Ohio. The driftless area will eventually go Republican soon. Waukesha County continues to vote very republican. I can't imagine Dane County trending democratic when the rest of the state is trending republican. Dane wull eventually start to trend R too. What do y'all think?I have no doubt that Trump will win the state again in 2020 and Republicans will win the state 2020 onward. It is no longer the progressive utopia it once was.

Clearly trending R?   From what?  A 0.4% win when Trump won by 0.77%?   Right after Democrats won every statewide office in 2018?  

What possibly indicates any trend whatsoever?
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« Reply #5 on: April 04, 2019, 07:59:15 AM »

The OP has obviously never visited Dane County, LOL.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #6 on: April 04, 2019, 09:24:56 AM »

Now you see, when Dallet won the state by 10% in 2018, it showed how the state was going the way of NY and becoming a Titanium D state, but now that Hagedorn won his race by 0.4%, the state is going the way of WY and becoming a Safe R state. Baldwin, Evers, and all the other Dems elected/reelected last year may as well just vacate their seats and not deal with the impending landslides they will face in due time Tongue
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #7 on: April 04, 2019, 10:20:47 AM »

It in the distant future, maybe. Definitely not within the next couple of decades.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #8 on: April 04, 2019, 10:24:34 AM »

It in the distant future, maybe. Definitely not within the next couple of decades.
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« Reply #9 on: April 04, 2019, 01:30:22 PM »

Also LOL at you thinking a 0.4% victory for a conservative in a Supreme Court race is indicative of anything.

IT'S OVER! WISCONSIN IS LOST FOREVER! A NEW TREND IS SET IN STONE!
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #10 on: April 04, 2019, 02:06:50 PM »

It in the distant future, maybe. Definitely not within the next couple of decades.

Uh, that’s a very long time. Would you (or anyone else, really, since this appears to be the consensus on Atlas) care to explain why it couldn’t possibly become a Republican-leaning state within the next decade?
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Nyvin
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« Reply #11 on: April 04, 2019, 02:20:49 PM »

It in the distant future, maybe. Definitely not within the next couple of decades.

Uh, that’s a very long time. Would you (or anyone else, really, since this appears to be the consensus on Atlas) care to explain why it couldn’t possibly become a Republican-leaning state within the next decade?

Probably because nothing indicates this will happen.   Dane County is the primary driver of growth in the state, and it's just getting more and more democratic.
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cvparty
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« Reply #12 on: April 04, 2019, 03:52:11 PM »

all states will trend D
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« Reply #13 on: April 04, 2019, 07:25:12 PM »

Wisconsin is a Dukakis state that has long been more Democratic than average; it was one of McGovern's better states.  There are strains of liberalism from the Progressive era in Wisconsin that remain to this day.  There is also a reactionary strain as evidenced by Joe McCarthy and Scott Walker, but that strain is not as hardy in Wisconsin.  I think that those who act as if all is lost for the Democrats there are prematurely pessimistic.  I expect Wisconsin to carry for the Democrats in 2020.
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AndyHogan14
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« Reply #14 on: April 05, 2019, 02:25:37 PM »


That could very well be the case...young people are overwhelmingly Democratic. So, in Wisconsin, you may have a race between older, ancestral Democrats that are trending Republican but also dying off due to age against younger Democrats that are coming of age.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #15 on: April 05, 2019, 02:43:02 PM »

Wisconsin is a Dukakis state that has long been more Democratic than average; it was one of McGovern's better states.  There are strains of liberalism from the Progressive era in Wisconsin that remain to this day.  There is also a reactionary strain as evidenced by Joe McCarthy and Scott Walker, but that strain is not as hardy in Wisconsin.  I think that those who act as if all is lost for the Democrats there are prematurely pessimistic.  I expect Wisconsin to carry for the Democrats in 2020.

The problem is the state legislature. WI GOP are absolutely ruthless at rigging the maps. Until something changes in the statewide voting patterns or the state Supreme Court intervenes, Republicans can virtually guarantee a permanent majority with only a minority of votes. That's why Democrats are so down on their prospects in the state, their odds in the state legislature are absolutely pathetic and everything is at the Republicans backs for the foreseeable future.
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