TX GOP Race to Stanch the Bleeding in the Suburbs
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  TX GOP Race to Stanch the Bleeding in the Suburbs
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Author Topic: TX GOP Race to Stanch the Bleeding in the Suburbs  (Read 2597 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #25 on: March 04, 2019, 03:09:00 PM »

According to CNN Exit Polls Trump won the Texas Suburbs by 18 points


And Among College Graduates Trump won 51%, Among Non College Graduates Trump won 53%
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #26 on: March 04, 2019, 03:09:39 PM »

West Virginia is a tiny shrinking state whose Democratic Party is all but dead aside from Manchin’s seat. Texas is a large growing state whose political transformation is only beginning now.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #27 on: March 04, 2019, 04:03:47 PM »

Well, for one, the GOP in Texas is still the dominant political party and hold every statewide office, a majority of the legislative seats, and a majority of congressional seats. The same isnt true for WV Democrats.

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Xeuma
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« Reply #28 on: March 04, 2019, 04:24:45 PM »

Well, for one, the GOP in Texas is still the dominant political party and hold every statewide office, a majority of the legislative seats, and a majority of congressional seats. The same isnt true for WV Democrats.



That applied to Arkansas Democrats until 2010/2014. When a southern state flips, it doesn't look back.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #29 on: March 04, 2019, 11:47:18 PM »

My opinions:

Top Tier: Hurd, Marchant
Second Tier: Crenshaw, McCaul, Roy, Olson, Carter
Third Tier: Taylor, Wright, Williams
Fourth Tier: Flores
LOL Tier: Everyone else

-Crenshaw has strong crossover appeal that other Texas Republicans don’t. That should keep him relatively safe in 2020.
-Van Taylor looks to be wave insurance but he won’t be easy to dislodge.
-Ron Wright can be wage insurance but he in unlikely to lose.
-Mike Siegel should give it another go at McCaul
-Jan McDowell was a weak candidate against Marchant. Vanessa Adia and Linsey Fagan would be much better picks.
-I think Nyanza Moore is better equipped to take on Olson than Kulkarni again.
-Julie Oliver won’t win against Williams, but she can go after Roy or Carter or possibly Doggett’s seat if he retires.
-Gina Ortiz Jones can give it another go
That would be awesome. DCCC will never let a Justice Dem win though
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #30 on: March 04, 2019, 11:59:27 PM »

My opinions:

Top Tier: Hurd, Marchant
Second Tier: Crenshaw, McCaul, Roy, Olson, Carter
Third Tier: Taylor, Wright, Williams
Fourth Tier: Flores
LOL Tier: Everyone else

-Crenshaw has strong crossover appeal that other Texas Republicans don’t. That should keep him relatively safe in 2020.
-Van Taylor looks to be wave insurance but he won’t be easy to dislodge.
-Ron Wright can be wage insurance but he in unlikely to lose.
-Mike Siegel should give it another go at McCaul
-Jan McDowell was a weak candidate against Marchant. Vanessa Adia and Linsey Fagan would be much better picks.
-I think Nyanza Moore is better equipped to take on Olson than Kulkarni again.
-Julie Oliver won’t win against Williams, but she can go after Roy or Carter or possibly Doggett’s seat if he retires.
-Gina Ortiz Jones can give it another go
That would be awesome. DCCC will never let a Justice Dem win though

Tell that to AOC, Tlaib, Omar, and Pressley. Or guys like Randy Bryce and Kara Eastman.
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Indy Texas 🇺🇦🇵🇸
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« Reply #31 on: March 05, 2019, 12:11:54 AM »

Lean R because of retail politics

Quote
Field teams will be responsible for recruiting volunteers to knock on doors, attending events to talk to voters and testing out new texting tools to boost voter registration and turn out among potential GOP voters.

"From my personal experience, there is nothing more effective than talking to folks," said Sam Pohl, spokesperson at the Republican Party of Texas.

Quote
“We plan on it being more a retail race,” said Melissa Kelly, Olson’s chief of staff, who added that Olson plans on being even more active in the diversifying community, attending events like Chinese New Year and Cinco de Mayo celebrations.

lol these people are so inept at trying to interact with anyone who isn't a straight white non-immigrant Christian
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DrScholl
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« Reply #32 on: March 05, 2019, 12:28:12 AM »

Putting Travis County in several districts has finally caused them real problems. I'm not so sure that they can stop much of the bleeding because when traditional strongholds start to shift away there isn't whole lot that can be done to stop it. No, these suburbs have not gone as Democratic as West Virginia has gone Republican but they don't need to shift that hard to cause Republicans to lose ground.
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Sbane
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« Reply #33 on: March 05, 2019, 10:56:49 AM »

Lean R because of retail politics

Quote
Field teams will be responsible for recruiting volunteers to knock on doors, attending events to talk to voters and testing out new texting tools to boost voter registration and turn out among potential GOP voters.

"From my personal experience, there is nothing more effective than talking to folks," said Sam Pohl, spokesperson at the Republican Party of Texas.

Quote
“We plan on it being more a retail race,” said Melissa Kelly, Olson’s chief of staff, who added that Olson plans on being even more active in the diversifying community, attending events like Chinese New Year and Cinco de Mayo celebrations.

Trump is the problem, not that Olson didn't attend last year's Cinco de Mayo.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #34 on: March 05, 2019, 11:57:01 AM »

LOL @ Olson
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #35 on: March 05, 2019, 12:05:13 PM »

According to CNN Exit Polls Trump won the Texas Suburbs by 18 points


And Among College Graduates Trump won 51%, Among Non College Graduates Trump won 53%

As RinoTom points out, Rural areas in most every state cast a very small percentage of the vote. Thus to counter increasingly Democratic Cities especially in places like TX where they are getting more and more Democratic like the rest of the country, it is necessary for Republicans to achieve at least a double digit win in suburbs just to break even with Democrats.

Also the fact that Trump won College Grads with 51% is actually more concerning from my perspective because that means the GOP is heavily dependent on what are essentially Never Trump Republicans in Texas, some of whom likely only backed Trump very late or because of the Supreme Court seat and had convinced themselves that Trump would take the job seriously and grow into it.

These factors, as well as growth of Democratic demographics in the state is why I have long suspected that Trump if he does win Texas, does so by 5% or less in 2020.
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Idaho Conservative
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« Reply #36 on: March 17, 2019, 12:49:50 AM »

According to CNN Exit Polls Trump won the Texas Suburbs by 18 points


And Among College Graduates Trump won 51%, Among Non College Graduates Trump won 53%

As RinoTom points out, Rural areas in most every state cast a very small percentage of the vote. Thus to counter increasingly Democratic Cities especially in places like TX where they are getting more and more Democratic like the rest of the country, it is necessary for Republicans to achieve at least a double digit win in suburbs just to break even with Democrats.

Also the fact that Trump won College Grads with 51% is actually more concerning from my perspective because that means the GOP is heavily dependent on what are essentially Never Trump Republicans in Texas, some of whom likely only backed Trump very late or because of the Supreme Court seat and had convinced themselves that Trump would take the job seriously and grow into it.

These factors, as well as growth of Democratic demographics in the state is why I have long suspected that Trump if he does win Texas, does so by 5% or less in 2020.
If Texas goes blue we need to split its electoral votes like Maine.  If not, idk what we can do, let them secede?  At least keep West TX for the oil tho.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #37 on: March 17, 2019, 01:19:18 AM »

The GOP has to stop the bleeding in the TX suburbs because not only will they lose TX they will be locked out of the WH. Losing TX is not equivalent to losing VA it is equivalent to losing the whole game until you get it back or a huge realignment happens.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #38 on: March 17, 2019, 01:25:39 AM »

The GOP has to stop the bleeding in the TX suburbs because not only will they lose TX they will be locked out of the WH. Losing TX is not equivalent to losing VA it is equivalent to losing the whole game until you get it back or a huge realignment happens.

Yea, this would be the equivalent of the Dems losing IL+NJ. It would be a calamity.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #39 on: March 17, 2019, 02:34:08 AM »

The GOP has to stop the bleeding in the TX suburbs because not only will they lose TX they will be locked out of the WH. Losing TX is not equivalent to losing VA it is equivalent to losing the whole game until you get it back or a huge realignment happens.

Yea, this would be the equivalent of the Dems losing IL+NJ. It would be a calamity.


Heck Texas even becoming a tossup state would be a disaster for them(going blue would be a disaster on another level) as that would basically mean they would start out every election with a huge disadvantage as now they have to pour in lots of resources to win TX which would take away from resources they need in the upper Midwest while the Dems can shore up the upper Midwest easily with the GOP busy fighting in TX and that too locks the GOP out.


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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #40 on: March 17, 2019, 12:29:29 PM »

The TX GOP drinking the Tom Brady Juice.
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