What would your reaction be to this final Pre-Election Polling Map

[OSR stands with Israel]

Light Shading : Lead is between 1%-4.9%
Medium Shading : Lead is between 5%-9.9%
Dark Shading: Lead is 10%+

State Polling for the Non-Dark Shaded States and Texas are:

Texas: Trump+ 10
Oregon: Democrat + 9
Colorado: Democrat + 8
Ohio: Trump + 7
Virginia: Democrat + 7
Michigan : Democrat + 5
Maine: Democrat + 5
Minnesota: Democrat + 4
Pennsylvania: Democrat + 3
Florida: Trump + 2
Georgia: Trump + 2
Arizona: Trump + 1
Iowa: Democrat + 1


Nevada, Wisconsin and New Hampshire are all tied

[Progressive Pessimist]

Oddly enough, I think the Democrat would be favored as once again, Nevada polling will have proven itself to be inaccurate. And if the Democrat is consistently leading in Michigan, Iowa, and Pennsylvania; they are probably winning Wisconsin too.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Oddly enough, I think the Democrat would be favored as once again, Nevada polling will have proven itself to be inaccurate. And if the Democrat is consistently leading in Michigan, Iowa, and Pennsylvania; they are probably winning Wisconsin too.

Yah and Nevada puts them over the top as long as they hold and even if they dont they probably win either AZ or WI

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Surprised about Iowa, but otherwise cautiously optimistic.

[Sir Mohamed]

I'd be extremely worried. This isn't that much different from 2016. The 5% lead in MI doesn't give me a lot of relief, as it's close to the MoE. While NV is probably going Dem again due to the state's electoral and polling history, NH could flip if polls are that tight. And Trump in this scenario is favored in WI, and if he wins here, he also takes IA with it. If the other states go as projected (FL would be atlas blue for sure), he can win with at least 270 EVs. Even if there are EC defections, the House delegations will be majority GOP, making a Dem prez impossible. If Trump can either win NH or PA (or both), he has this in the bag again regardless of how MI votes.

[Politician]

My predictions:
Ohio: Trump +12
Texas: Trump +7
Georgia: Trump +3
Florida: Trump +3
North Carolina: Trump +2
Iowa: Trump +2
Wisconsin: Trump +0
New Hampshire: Democrat +0
Pennsylvania: Democrat +1
Michigan: Democrat +3
Nevada: Democrat +4
Minnesota: Democrat +4
Maine: Democrat +5
Virginia: Democrat +6
Colorado: Democrat +8
Oregon: Democrat +12

[LAKISYLVANIA]

This is not a good polling map. I think Trump does it again here. Michigan has a history of overestimating Democrats and inaccurate polling, so this map would definitely suggest the Rust Belt is in danger, and in fact polling for the three states is worse than before election day in 2016. Iowa is a small state, so i would assume the polling was inaccurate as well. Texas polling at +10R isn't good either. NC, AZ, FL, GA would probably stay in Trump's column too.

So if this was the final pre-election polling map, i would probably bet real money on Trump being re-elected to be honest.

My predictions:
Ohio: Trump +8
Texas: Trump +7
Iowa: Trump +6
Georgia: Trump +3
North Carolina: Trump +2
Florida: Trump +2
Arizona: Trump +2
Wisconsin: Trump +2
Michigan: Trump +1
Pennsylvania: Trump +0
New Hampshire: Trump +0
Minnesota: Democrat +1
Maine: Democrat +3
Nevada: Democrat +3
Virginia: Democrat +6
Colorado: Democrat +9
Oregon: Democrat +11

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I would wonder who could possibly be more hated in Wisconsin than Hillary Clinton.