ASV's magic spreadsheet strikes again

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Razze	16
Devout Centrist	15	15
HenryWallaceVP	15	15	15
JGibson	15	15	15	15
Jimmy7812	15	15	15	15	15
LouisvilleThunder	12	12	12	12.2	12.2	12.2	12.45	14.45
Ninja0428	11	12.33	12.67	13.47	14.47	15.24
Tea Party Hater	11	11.33	11.67	11.67	11.67	11.78	12.02	12.02	12.16	15.18
1184AZ	10	10	10.33	10.33	10.33	10.44	10.73	10.73	10.87	13.10	13.73
Vern	8	8.17	8.17	8.17	8.17	8.17	8.58	8.60	8.67	11.72	12.27
Old School Republican	8	8.17	8.17	8.17	8.17	8.17	8.20	8.20	8.30
Spark498	2	2	2	2	2	2	2.02

[Fmr. Representative Encke]

MikeWells changed his vote from Razze to Ninja, so this is wrong.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

MikeWells changed his vote from Razze to Ninja, so this is wrong.

You didn't see anything.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Anyway, as you can see all 5 left-wing candidates exceed quota on first preferences. Vast majority of the surpluses from all 5 flow to Ninja, putting him above quota. His surplus then scatters pretty evenly between the 5 Federalists. Spark is obviously then eliminated, with both his votes going to LT, putting him above quota. LT's surplus also scatters pretty evenly between the remaining 4 Federalists. OSR is then eliminated, and his votes push TPH over quota. TPH's quota then finalises AZ's defeat of Vern for the final seat.
Even if Vern had been eliminated instead of OSR (only 0.37 votes between them) nothing would have changed. His votes still put TPH over quota, and still result in AZ winning the final seat, beating OSR.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Also, these results bode well for the left trying for 6 seats next time. Ninja's votes split pretty evenly between Labor and the Feds, and if there had been a 6th Leftie candidate they could well have won the final seat.
Definitely if I was in Labor I'd be looking at this result and thinking about running 6 candidates next time.