Pennsylvania Congressional Elections 2018 Mega Thread

[wbrocks67]

Didn't find one of those, feel free to point one out though if there is one.

Let's talk about this year's elections, as Dems have a chance to pick up a LOT of seats thanks to that new map.

I'm also maybe one of the few who thinks Wallace will pull it out in PA-01.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Didn't find one of those, feel free to point one out though if there is one.

Let's talk about this year's elections, as Dems have a chance to pick up a LOT of seats thanks to that new map.

I'm also maybe one of the few who thinks Wallace will pull it out in PA-01.

I agree. It will be a narrow win though.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Scott Wallace will win, and it will not be close either.

[Politician]

Wallace eeks out a win due to the wave, he could easily lose however. He's a meh candidate and Fitzparick is popular in the district (the local AFL-CIO endorsed him).

[Zaybay]

Im of the mindset that Wallace isnt a bad candidate, it just appears that way next to Fitzpatrick. Its sort of like with the other popular GOP congressmen, such as Katko and Valadao, their opponents arent bad(well Cox is definitely below average) its just that their opponents are so good.

 Im rather positive that Wallace wins, as he has been blanketing the airwaves with some pretty good ads, and breaking down Fitzpatrick's approval, not to mention the wave, but I would like to see a new indie poll before confirming this logic, considering the last indie poll was from June with Wallace down by 2.

Im thinking that, in overall pickups, the Dems make a net gain of 4, losing Lamb, but gaining Roufus, and the entire Eastern side of PA.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Bucks will be Wolf + 10-15. No way Fitzpatrick can overcome that.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Bucks will be Wolf + 10-15. No way Fitzpatrick can overcome that.

Folks, don’t believe anyone who can tell you with confidence whether Fitzpatrick holds on or not. It is anyone’s unconfident guess who wins.

[wbrocks67]

I'd put Wallace's chances at like 60-70%. But yeah, I think Wolf/Casey possibly winning by double digits will be a huge boon for him.

BTW, Monmouth doing a poll of PA07 this week - Wild/Nothstein. 538 has it at Wild 56, Nothstein 40. I'd be surprised if Wild is anywhere close to losing.

As another data point, primary turnout in PA07 this year was 59% Dems, 41% Republicans.