CT-SHU/Hearst: Lamont +4
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  CT-SHU/Hearst: Lamont +4
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Author Topic: CT-SHU/Hearst: Lamont +4  (Read 1076 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: August 23, 2018, 09:52:31 AM »

https://m.ctpost.com/local/article/Lamont-ahead-in-SHU-Hearst-Poll-13176651.php

Lamont (D) - 41
Stefanowski (R) - 37

Malloy has an approval rating of 16%.

Trump is underwater 30-58.

Generic ballot is D+10. Democrats won the Connecticut US House vote 58-35 in 2016. This suggests CT-05 could be a real race.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #1 on: August 23, 2018, 09:54:09 AM »

Holy smokes, 16%! This guy is giving Brownback and Christie a run for their money.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2018, 10:01:32 AM »


Can’t wait to see those Fairfield County swings

Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean, obviously.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2018, 10:05:58 AM »

Quinnipiac is releasing a Connecticut poll today as well.

My guess is that Trump will be a bigger drag here than Malloy. Malloy is going away after this year while Trump is not. Also its going to be difficult to connect Lamont to Malloy.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #4 on: August 23, 2018, 10:13:13 AM »


Can’t wait to see those Fairfield County swings

Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean, obviously.

I'd say closer to Lean than Safe, but still. Damn. I mean, to my credit, I always sort of had a bad feeling about Bob.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #5 on: August 23, 2018, 10:59:38 AM »

Jahana Hayes will win the 5th comfortably.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2018, 11:03:31 AM »

Close races in NE with GOP, who have a chance for pickups.
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choclatechip45
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« Reply #7 on: August 23, 2018, 11:44:34 AM »


Can’t wait to see those Fairfield County swings

Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean, obviously.

It will be interesting. The biggest issue republicans have is that Rell won Stamford in 2006 which since has grown a lot and has become a lot more democratic. It’s where I’m from/live.
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ctrepublican512
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« Reply #8 on: August 23, 2018, 11:49:05 AM »


Can’t wait to see those Fairfield County swings

Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean, obviously.

It will be interesting. The biggest issue republicans have is that Rell won Stamford in 2006 which since has grown a lot and has become a lot more democratic. It’s where I’m from/live.

She won more than just Stamford, hell she won West Hartford too. It'll tighten when Bob becomes more familiar but Tossup/Lean D is appropriate.
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choclatechip45
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« Reply #9 on: August 23, 2018, 12:07:47 PM »


Can’t wait to see those Fairfield County swings

Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean, obviously.

It will be interesting. The biggest issue republicans have is that Rell won Stamford in 2006 which since has grown a lot and has become a lot more democratic. It’s where I’m from/live.

She won more than just Stamford, hell she won West Hartford too. It'll tighten when Bob becomes more familiar but Tossup/Lean D is appropriate.

And you really think Bob will win those? He’s barley held any campaign events.
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ctrepublican512
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« Reply #10 on: August 23, 2018, 12:11:21 PM »


Can’t wait to see those Fairfield County swings

Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean, obviously.

It will be interesting. The biggest issue republicans have is that Rell won Stamford in 2006 which since has grown a lot and has become a lot more democratic. It’s where I’m from/live.

She won more than just Stamford, hell she won West Hartford too. It'll tighten when Bob becomes more familiar but Tossup/Lean D is appropriate.

And you really think Bob will win those? He’s barley held any campaign events.

I learned to not underestimate him. I do think he can win but if he does will be pulling votes from out East, the Valley, and northern New Haven county. Id say Lamont has 65/70% odds of winning but hes not the best candidate. Really just depends on Bob's strategy but still really no idea. We may have a GOP legislature and Dem Gov out of all of this
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choclatechip45
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« Reply #11 on: August 23, 2018, 12:34:11 PM »


Can’t wait to see those Fairfield County swings

Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean, obviously.

It will be interesting. The biggest issue republicans have is that Rell won Stamford in 2006 which since has grown a lot and has become a lot more democratic. It’s where I’m from/live.

She won more than just Stamford, hell she won West Hartford too. It'll tighten when Bob becomes more familiar but Tossup/Lean D is appropriate.

And you really think Bob will win those? He’s barley held any campaign events.

I learned to not underestimate him. I do think he can win but if he does will be pulling votes from out East, the Valley, and northern New Haven county. Id say Lamont has 65/70% odds of winning but hes not the best candidate. Really just depends on Bob's strategy but still really no idea. We may have a GOP legislature and Dem Gov out of all of this

I don’t think Bob is winning Stamford.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #12 on: August 24, 2018, 01:35:17 AM »

16% approval rating? Holy cr*p. How do you get a 16% approval rating? Ok, it's 25% in the other poll, but Malloy is more unpopular than Donald Trump. If you're a Dem less popular than Trump in CT, there is something wrong.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #13 on: August 24, 2018, 01:21:07 PM »

Looks about right.
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