Do you think ...
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Poll
Question: ... "Danny Boy" can still win the OH-12 special election ?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
#3
Who cares ? On to November !		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 26

Author Topic: Do you think ...  (Read 296 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« on: August 11, 2018, 10:14:10 AM »
Currently, "Danny Boy" (D) is down by 1.564 votes, but 8.500 votes are left to count.

I still think it is theoretically possible for him to win.

What about you ?
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libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,611
United States


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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2018, 10:16:59 AM »
He CAN, but I don't think it's likely he WILL.
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wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,600
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

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« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2018, 10:19:36 AM »
It's theoretically possible, but Democrats shouldn't get their hopes up.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2018, 10:20:37 AM »
If 85% of the remaining 8.500 ballots are valid and counted (like in recent elections), Danny Boy needs to win them by 61-39 to close the gap and pull ahead by a few votes.

Hillary did 6% better than she did in OH with provisional ballots that were counted after election day, but Hillary sucked among Independents and Danny Boy is getting a huge share of them.

In the Hillary-scenario, he would get 56% of the remaining ballots - but who knows ? If he's doing a much better job with Indies, he can also get to 61% ...
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 34,395
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

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« Reply #4 on: August 12, 2018, 08:22:42 PM »
My thoughts are kind of a combination of options 2 and 3.
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