2016 WI: Jeb Bush vs Martin O'Malley - The most boring Election in History

[Thunder98]

Jeb Bush wins the EC and PV by a very small margin.

Bush 275 (49.8%) - O'Malley 263 (49.6%)

Closest states:

Virginia: O'Malley 49.2% - Bush 49.0% (0.2%)
Colorado: O'Malley 48.9% - Bush 48.4% (0.5%)
Iowa: Bush 49.5% - O'Malley 48.6% (0.9%)
Nevada: Bush 49.5% - O'Malley 48.4% (1.1%)
Wisconsin: Bush 49.8% - O'Malley 48.3% (1.5%)
New Hampshire: O'Malley 49.0% - Bush 47.7% (1.3%)
Minnesota: O'Malley 49.2% - Bush 47.0% (2.2%)
New Mexico: O'Malley 49.9% - Bush 46.0% (3.9%)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Flip Nevada, which you have as extremely close, and it's a 269-269 tie.  That would be fun.

[I Can Now Die Happy]

Atlas likes to push this idea that 2016 was a year that really favored the GOP, but I honestly think it slightly favored the Democrats. I think NeverTrumpers and partisan Democrats who want to throw Hillary under the bus by pushing the idea that any Republican would have definitely beat her. It's pathetic, but whatever.

Generic GOP loses to Generic D every time in Presidential races now. Maybe my perspective is skewed from living in NYC, but the Kasichs, Rubios, and Jebs of the world come off as plastic robotic designated losers to me.  

Map at the minimum. 279 O'Malley -259 Jeb

Map if Jeb really screws up. 347 O'Malley - 191 Jeb

[HisGrace]

They're "boring" but way better than the two candidates we got.

Map would have been about the same.

[Lechasseur]

Atlas likes to push this idea that 2016 was a year that really favored the GOP, but I honestly think it slightly favored the Democrats. I think NeverTrumpers and partisan Democrats who want to throw Hillary under the bus like pushing the idea that any Republican would have definitely beat her. It's pathetic, but whatever.

Generic GOP loses to Generic D every time in Presidential races now. Maybe my perspective is skewed from living in NYC, but the Kasichs, Rubios, and Jebs of the world come off as plastic robotic designated losers to me.  

Map at the minimum. 279 O'Malley -259 Jeb

Map if Jeb really screws up. 347 O'Malley - 191 Jeb

I agree with you that 2016 favored the Democrats, I think any Republican other than Trump would have lost to Clinton. On the other hand, O'Malley was a very weak candidate thus I agree with the OP that Jeb would have narrowly beaten him.