TN-Emerson Poll: Dean (D) with a chance to win

[Tender Branson]

39% Karl Dean (D)
35% Diane Black (R)

36% Karl Dean (D)
34% Randy Boyd (R)

---

GOP primary:

27% Black
22% Boyd
19% Lee

DEM primary:

44% Dean
14% Fitzhugh

https://www.emerson.edu/communication-studies/emerson-college-polling-society

[wesmoorenerd]

!!!!!

It's only one poll and the race is still Likely R, but I wouldn't have expected this. Dean may actually be able to pull out a victory.

[ON Progressive]

That is a ton of undecideds. Still Likely R.

[mencken]

Good, I was worried about Bredensen until I saw this.

[KingSweden]

That is a ton of undecideds. Still Likely R.

This.

It does match my line of thinking that Boyd is the stronger Republican, though.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

How many govs are the Dems gonna pick up that matches the 2002 and 2006 levels? TN, AZ, GA are tilting D when they are supposed to be R

[South Dakota Democrat]

!!!!!

It's only one poll and the race is still Likely R, but I wouldn't have expected this. Dean may actually be able to pull out a victory.

Well, GOV races are often less partisan than federal races (see Massachusetts, Maryland, and Louisiana).

Except South Dakota, of course.  We have the longest streak of one party control of the governorship in the country (we haven't elected a DEM governor since the 1970s).

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Lol, I'll be content if we can just edge out TN in the senate race.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Lol, I'll be content if we can just edge out TN in the senate race.

Agreed.

[Podgy the Bear]

This would be great!  Tennessee has had the tendency to swing in both directions.  Just when you think that one party is dominant (the Republicans in the early 1970s, the Democrats in the early 1990s), the other party comes back.

I still think it's a lean (R), but this poll is encouraging.

[Zaybay]

Interesting, but OFC Emerson does not push undecideds. I put this as lean/Likely R, if Dean can ride the wave, Ill move it closer.

[Adam Griffin]

It does match my line of thinking that Boyd is the stronger Republican, though.

For obvious reasons. The best thing that can happen for TN Dems is if the GOP nominates two women. It may be "Year of the Women" or whatever they're calling it, but women still under-perform men in elections (and that will definitely happen in a state like TN if it's 2 male-female matchups).

[Ebsy]

I don't think it has much to do with them being women and much more to do with them being Marsha Blackburn and Diane Black, two of the worst people in the House, period.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AK, AZ, MD and TN are upset races, and will ride the wave

[South Dakota Democrat]

AK, AZ, MD and TN are upset races, and will ride the wave

Arizona is a definite possibility, not sure about the others.  Alaska would be fine if Walker or Begich dropped out.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Lol, I'll be content if we can just edge out TN in the senate race.

Agreed.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AK, TN are strong possibilities, but you can have different candidates winning different offices in presidential years than in governor years.

Like I said earlier, how many gov mansions will Dems pickup that were duplicates of the 2002 and 2006 maps: OH-Strickland, AK-Knowles, AZ-Napolitano, TN-Bredesen were on that list; however, Walker and Hogan can still win

[MT Treasurer]

Why are people surprised by this?

[Fuzzy Bear]

I wonder how many LOCAL officials in Middle TN and West TN are Republicans.  I mean state legislators, county Sheriffs, etc.