SC Rep Primary-TI: McMaster +12

[Predictor]

McMaster - 37%
Templeton - 25%
Warren - 20%
Bryant - 4%
McGill - 3%
Undecided - 11%

400 RV, +/- 5%

https://www.postandcourier.com/politics/south-carolina-republican-governor-s-race-headed-for-runoff-new/article_41a8fc46-66b4-11e8-9d53-8389b1ecc36e.html

The primary is set for June 12, with a runoff scheduled for June 26 if necessary.

[Consciously Unconscious]

If Templeton wins, Likely R->Lean R. The primary is Lean McMaster.

Eh, SC is pretty inelastic.  It'd take a lot for the state to flip.

[Politician]

If Templeton wins, Likely R->Lean R. The primary is Lean McMaster.

Eh, SC is pretty inelastic.  It'd take a lot for the state to flip.

In 2010 it was quite close despite being a Republican wave year.

[libertpaulian]

If Templeton wins, Likely R->Lean R. The primary is Lean McMaster.

Eh, SC is pretty inelastic.  It'd take a lot for the state to flip.

In 2010 it was quite close despite being a Republican wave year.

There were some Yellow Dogs still alive then.  Not many, of course, but still a few.

[Consciously Unconscious]

If Templeton wins, Likely R->Lean R. The primary is Lean McMaster.

Eh, SC is pretty inelastic.  It'd take a lot for the state to flip.

In 2010 it was quite close despite being a Republican wave year.

There were some Yellow Dogs still alive then.  Not many, of course, but still a few.

And the Republican candidate was a minority woman as well.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

McMaster's lead has really collapsed.

[President Johnson]

Why is McMaster so weak for an incumbent? He's full in line with Trump.

[ON Progressive]

Why is McMaster so weak for an incumbent? He's full in line with Trump.

IIRC, incumbents that get in because of resignations/appointments/anything that isn't being elected don't get incumbency advantage.

[Maxwell]

Why is McMaster so weak for an incumbent? He's full in line with Trump.

IIRC, incumbents that get in because of resignations/appointments/anything that isn't being elected don't get incumbency advantage.

McMaster is also a known and not very well liked entity in SC politics. He's a party hack from back when the Republican Party was still a minority in the state. Also corrupt, but that should go without saying with the words "party hack".