OK-Sooner Poll: Lamb/Edmonson lead primaries, Edmonson -5/-6/+7 in GE
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  OK-Sooner Poll: Lamb/Edmonson lead primaries, Edmonson -5/-6/+7 in GE
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Author Topic: OK-Sooner Poll: Lamb/Edmonson lead primaries, Edmonson -5/-6/+7 in GE  (Read 958 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: May 23, 2018, 04:16:21 PM »

Republicans:
Todd Lamb - 23%
Mick Cornett - 20%
Kevin Stitt - 14%
Gary Jones - 4%
Dan Fisher - 3%
Gary Richardson - 3%

Democrats:
Drew Edmondson - 44%
Connie Johnson - 14%

General Election:
Todd Lamb - 33%
Drew Edmondson - 28%

Mick Cornett - 33%
Drew Edmondson - 27%

Drew Edmondson - 32%
Kevin Stitt - 25%

https://docs.google.com/viewerng/viewer?url=http%3A%2F%2FKWTV.images.worldnow.com%2Flibrary%2F2d195dab-904d-43f9-9308-11183d7be382.pdf
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Politician
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« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2018, 04:22:51 PM »

Hopefully Stitt wins the nomination, then.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #2 on: May 23, 2018, 05:09:03 PM »

Hopefully Stitt wins the nomination, then.
Its probably just low name rec at this point.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #3 on: May 23, 2018, 06:31:52 PM »

>high undecideds
>this poll meaning anything

lol
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Pollster
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« Reply #4 on: May 23, 2018, 08:44:20 PM »

Can somebody with more insight share what it is about Kevin Stitt that causes Edmondson to break 30% against him while being stuck just under against the other two?
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YE
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« Reply #5 on: May 23, 2018, 08:46:25 PM »

OK Sooner poll is trash worthy.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: May 24, 2018, 10:00:29 AM »

Hopefully Stitt wins the nomination, then.
Its probably just low name rec at this point.

Yeah stitts kind of a wild card in this race but his money should get his name recognition up very quickly. Stitt would be a better nominee than Lamb for sure.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
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« Reply #7 on: May 24, 2018, 10:04:49 AM »

If no one has >40% in a poll, then the poll is junk.
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brand_allen
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« Reply #8 on: May 24, 2018, 03:15:15 PM »

There is an eye-popping 74 point gap in Trump's and Gov. Fallin's net favorability ratings, per the poll.

Trump's at 65/32%, Fallin's at 27/69%. What in the world did she do to earn a near 70% unfavorable rating (genuine question)?
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #9 on: May 24, 2018, 03:17:46 PM »
« Edited: May 24, 2018, 03:21:28 PM by Mondale »

Hopefully Lamb gets the nomination....that would give the Dem a 50/50 shot in this enviorment
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #10 on: May 24, 2018, 03:26:39 PM »

There is an eye-popping 74 point gap in Trump's and Gov. Fallin's net favorability ratings, per the poll.

Trump's at 65/32%, Fallin's at 27/69%. What in the world did she do to earn a near 70% unfavorable rating (genuine question)?

This is the important piece of data from this poll, especially with governor numbers so undecided. But to answer your question - Fallin has only escaped the media's prying eyes because Brownback to her north is even worse. Oklahoma has a teacher crisis and underfunded schools, and Fallin has generally leaned on the far-right in the legislature for support. Also, in 2017 there was a slew of Sex/Corruption/Abuse scandals that plagued the OK-Rep party, giving it a general stench of mud. There was a reason for the tons of OK special elections, and the fact Dems saw 30, 40, even 50 point swings here with lots of gains.
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brand_allen
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« Reply #11 on: May 24, 2018, 03:51:03 PM »

There is an eye-popping 74 point gap in Trump's and Gov. Fallin's net favorability ratings, per the poll.

Trump's at 65/32%, Fallin's at 27/69%. What in the world did she do to earn a near 70% unfavorable rating (genuine question)?

This is the important piece of data from this poll, especially with governor numbers so undecided. But to answer your question - Fallin has only escaped the media's prying eyes because Brownback to her north is even worse. Oklahoma has a teacher crisis and underfunded schools, and Fallin has generally leaned on the far-right in the legislature for support. Also, in 2017 there was a slew of Sex/Corruption/Abuse scandals that plagued the OK-Rep party, giving it a general stench of mud. There was a reason for the tons of OK special elections, and the fact Dems saw 30, 40, even 50 point swings here with lots of gains.

Interesting. I remembered thinking her 2014 victory was a little less impressive than I would have expected, given the partisan lean of the state and the nationally favorable environment for Republicans that year. But 27/69?! Damn.
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Skunk
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« Reply #12 on: May 24, 2018, 03:58:20 PM »

Of course we finally get a poll for this race and it's garbage.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #13 on: May 27, 2018, 09:37:11 PM »

Edmonson actually has a shot here, especially if Lamb takes it. Cornett is much stronger because quite frankly he's a much better politician and he can't be tied to Fallin unlike Lamb.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #14 on: May 27, 2018, 10:10:49 PM »

I don't know...this particular poll probably is garbage, but I imagine any situation where Democrats have a shot of taking the Governor's mansion in OK would produce polls that had a much higher undecided number than usual in the months preceding the election. If relatively few people are undecided at this point, then the GOP wins easily; it's not going to be some Democratic blow-out, after all.
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