Triumph Campaigns: Cindy Hyde-Smith and Mike Epsy tied, McDaniel far back in 3rd

[Jeppe]

Top-line numbers
Democrat Mike Espy: 33.1 percent
Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith: 33 percent
Republican Chris McDaniel: 12.8 percent
Democrat Jason Shelton: 6.2 percent
Undecided: 14.9 percent

Head-to-head match-ups
Hyde-Smith: 42 percent; Espy: 36 percent
Espy: 43 percent; McDaniel: 24 percent

Candidate Favourability
Roger Wicker 45/26 with 30% undecided
Cindy Hyde-Smith 32/16 with 53% undecided
Chris McDaniel 17/42 with 41% undecided
Mike Espy 36/26 with 38% undecided
Jason Shelton 11/11 with 78% undecided

https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2018/04/16/poll-cindy-hyde-smith-mike-espy-neck-and-neck-mcdaniel-distant-third-senate-race/520331002/

(Triumph Campaigns is a Republican pollster that did work for Roger Wicker this cycle, commissioned by a website called Y'All Politics, a Mississippi politics and commentary website).

[MAINEiac4434]

Those are great numbers for Espy against McDaniel.

[Jeppe]

Those are great numbers for Espy against McDaniel.

It seems like McDaniel's supporters break strongly for CHS in the run-off, but that CHS voters are very reluctant to support McDaniel in the run-off.

[Doimper]

Those are great numbers for Espy against McDaniel.

I'm not sure if I buy a D+19 poll. This is Mississippi.

[Jeppe]

Those are great numbers for Espy against McDaniel.

I'm not sure if I buy a D+19 poll. This is Mississippi.

I think Espy reaching 43% is him reaching his ceiling. At the end of the day, most Republicans would probably still break strongly for McDaniel, even if they hate his guts.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Numbers seem really off in this poll.

10% independents?
McDaniel at only 12%?
McDaniel losing to Espy by 19?

Color me skeptical.

[Maxwell]

um... cool if true. Time for some "Chris McDaniel is too conservative" ads

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Is Espy a strong candidate?

[OneJ]

Crosstabs: https://www.scribd.com/document/376522285/Y-all-Politics-Statewide-Poll-Crosstabs-041618-mssen

[OneJ]

Is Espy a strong candidate?

Maybe better than average, but I hope I do see some commercials from him.

[adrac]

While I don't want to draw too strong conclusions from a poll with such high undecideds, McDaniel numbers this low are good for Republicans and bad for Mike Espy.