Reaction to the previous map at the previously specified time.
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  Reaction to the previous map at the previously specified time.
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Author Topic: Reaction to the previous map at the previously specified time.  (Read 1069 times)
Sestak
jk2020
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« on: April 18, 2018, 02:42:00 PM »

I'll start; 11 PM ET, right after West Coast polls close



(Currently D 190 R 156)

PS Please specify the EV totals like I did, don't make people sit there and count for five minutes.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2018, 04:06:20 PM »

That is one weird map, and completely unrealistic.
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Computer89
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2018, 04:20:40 PM »

Other than the Plains and Mountain West, this looks like a Nunn vs Powell in the 1990s




2016 Election (Kasich/Haley vs Hillary/Kaine) at 9:50 ET when PA is called putting Kasich over the top


Electoral Numbers are

Kasich 284
Hillary 88
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2018, 04:25:32 PM »

I wouldn't be too surprised of a Kasich victory, but it would be much less close than I thought.

Election Night, 2048. 12 am.

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Peebs
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« Reply #4 on: April 18, 2018, 04:26:48 PM »

Assuming I have no prior knowledge of the past 30 years, confused at Titanium D Kansas.



7:45 the morning after. Connecticut has yet to be called, ME-01 has gone for an independent.
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Computer89
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« Reply #5 on: April 18, 2018, 04:39:50 PM »

Assuming I have no prior knowledge of the past 30 years, confused at Titanium D Kansas.



7:45 the morning after. Connecticut has yet to be called, ME-01 has gone for an independent.


Why did size of house increase so dramatically




WV puts dems over the top at 2:45 AM ET


Dems 273
GOP 249
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TexArkana
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« Reply #6 on: April 18, 2018, 04:48:40 PM »

Confused as to why West Virginia went D while Kentucky is R>60%





At 12:25 AM on Wednesday Morning


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Sestak
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« Reply #7 on: April 18, 2018, 04:55:54 PM »
« Edited: April 18, 2018, 05:02:13 PM by Lord Sestak »

Imma guess this is Manchin-Baker (And for the one above, Ojeda-Sandoval?)



D 269, R 249, uncalled 20. 1 AM Eastern.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #8 on: April 18, 2018, 05:10:15 PM »

Looking like 2008. Bredesen vs. McCain perhaps? In any case, I'd expect the D win to be a bit bigger.



269-269.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #9 on: April 18, 2018, 07:20:38 PM »

Thank God the Democrats control Congress!  Was this a Bullock/JBE vs Mitch Daniels/Giuliani 2016 matchup, I'm guessing?



After the polls close at 7:00 ET.
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Computer89
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« Reply #10 on: April 18, 2018, 07:23:52 PM »

GOP is going to win by at least 5 points(Even in 2004 VA wasnt called immediately )

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TexArkana
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« Reply #11 on: April 18, 2018, 07:27:00 PM »

GOP is going to win by at least 5 points(Even in 2004 VA wasnt called immediately )




If Virginia is called immediately, I would think that means the Republican is winning by more than 5%, unless they have some special appeal to the state.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #12 on: April 18, 2018, 07:33:49 PM »

Thank God the Democrats control Congress!  Was this a Bullock/JBE vs Mitch Daniels/Giuliani 2016 matchup, I'm guessing?



After the polls close at 7:00 ET.

I'm just doing a worst-case scenario for Democrats, IndyRep-style (NH Democratic even when Vermont is a tossup Tongue)
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #13 on: April 18, 2018, 11:00:57 PM »
« Edited: April 18, 2018, 11:04:16 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »

As for TDAS' map, perhaps the Democrats will win by The West with a split Midwest. Not that startling right now.




Polls have just closed at 9 PM ET

The GOP lead 201-188, with 47 EV that are too close to call
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Sestak
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« Reply #14 on: April 18, 2018, 11:42:50 PM »

I'd be pretty damn elated. CA+OR+WA+HI takes us to 266, and CO and AZ being called for Dems this early, I'd say Nevada's pretty much a lock. Getting ready to celebrate.



D 29 R 23, 37 EVs too close/too early. Just after 7 PM closings.
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Computer89
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« Reply #15 on: April 19, 2018, 03:28:20 AM »

How are the nominees Phil Scott and Joe Manchin





2:30 AM ET this map


GOP 267
Dems 265
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #16 on: April 19, 2018, 01:04:06 PM »

Total meltdown, the GOP probably won it...like they always do when it gets this close.

How about....



This is the map at 8:30 PM

Democrats lead 106-63 with 107 too close to call
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #17 on: April 19, 2018, 05:41:30 PM »

How did a Republican get Connecticut but lose Indiana and Georgia?  How in the world are Alabama and Mississippi too close to call?  Looks like we may be in for a really wild night.


9PM EST, right after the poll closings at that time.  States in gray include both states where polls are still open and states where polls are closed but it's too close to call.



Republican: 142
Democrat: 84

GOP is going to win by at least 5 points(Even in 2004 VA wasnt called immediately )


It wasn't called immediately in 2000 either, IIRC.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #18 on: April 19, 2018, 08:14:56 PM »


It wasn't called immediately in 2000 either, IIRC.

On NBC it was : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d9dYNyovyss

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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #19 on: April 20, 2018, 04:04:16 PM »

According to Karl Rove's memoirs though, it wasn't on CNN.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #20 on: April 21, 2018, 11:53:59 PM »

I'd be somewhat nervous, though not entirely sure of anything just because I can't tell what is and isn't closed and being counted.

Okay continuing my old map, but upping it to 10:00



144 EV too close, and GOP leads 166-154 EV
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