Texas Congressional Primary Predictions - 2018

[Jeppe]

The primaries are on March 6th. Texas hosts the first congressional primaries in the country, and there are lots of races that are hotly contested, on both the Democratic and Republican sides.

[The Arizonan]

I predict that Veronica Escobar becomes the nominee in TX-16, but not before winning the runoff between her and Dori Fenebock. I wouldn't be surprised if Fenebock got the nomination.

Collin Allred gets the Democratic nomination in whichever district he's running.

I don't know about the Democratic primary in TX-06.

[LimoLiberal]

My Democratic predictions:

TX-23: Runoff between Hulings and Ortiz-Jones
TX-07: Runoff between Fletcher and Moser
TX-32: Runoff between Allred and Meier

[The Arizonan]

I find it strange that Texas has never elected an Hispanic congresswoman despite its large Hispanic population. It's likely to change during the midterms, hopefully.

[Jeppe]

TX-07: Lizzie Fletcher
TX-16: Veronica Escobar
TX-23: Gina Ortiz Jones
TX-29: Sylvia Garcia
TX-32: Most unsure about this race, but I think Collin Allred

[Terry the Fat Shark]

One that is very under the radar, but in TX-26, Burgess is facing a major challenge from the right by a grassroots backed candidate named Veronica Birkenstock

I think Burgess narrowly prevails but it'll be much too close for comfort and this is the most likely seat for an incumbent to lose their seat tonight in the House, I believe.

[King Lear]

I don't get why Democrats are so focused on the Texas primary, because theirs only one competitive House race their (TX-23), and neither the Senate or Governor races are competitive (both are Safe Republican).

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I don't get why Democrats are so focused on the Texas primary, because theirs only one competitive House race their (TX-23), and neither the Senate or Governor races are competitive (both are Safe Republican).

3 competitive house races. It is also the first big primary clash of far lefties vs moderates.