Trump Primary Support Against Incumbents
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  Trump Primary Support Against Incumbents
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Author Topic: Trump Primary Support Against Incumbents  (Read 1011 times)
BuckeyeNut
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« on: August 19, 2017, 09:27:36 AM »

Will Trump support any more challengers to incumbent Republicans who don't support his agenda enough, or will this be isolated to Arizona and Flake?
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Holmes
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« Reply #1 on: August 19, 2017, 09:45:20 AM »

Heller and Corker are possibilities.
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The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
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« Reply #2 on: August 19, 2017, 10:22:10 AM »

Heller (NV) is definitely a possibility. If I'm correct, NV generally has a very Trump-friendly GOP base, which would help a more Trumpian successfully overthrow Heller in a primary.

We also know that Trump is not a fan of Murkowski (AK), given threats made to Murkowski by Zinke and the Trump administration after the healthcare vote, and given that Trump has angrily tweeted about her more than once. But she's up for re-election in 2022, so Trump will only have the chance if he wins in 2020.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: August 19, 2017, 11:08:48 AM »

If Susan Collins runs again in 2020 (which is not a sure thing) I could see Trump endorsing a primary opponent, especially if it's Paul LePage.
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Pollster
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« Reply #4 on: August 19, 2017, 11:27:06 AM »
« Edited: August 19, 2017, 11:29:55 AM by Pollster »

If Trump follows through on endorsing Ward, he probably won't have a problem endorsing Tarkanian in NV and Katrina Pierson if she follows through on challenging Cruz.

He could also make life a lot harder for establishment candidates running for Dem-held seats who attempt to distance themselves from him, especially somewhere like PA or IN where the primary is already crowded and potentially divisive.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #5 on: August 19, 2017, 03:13:30 PM »

If Trump follows through on endorsing Ward, he probably won't have a problem endorsing Tarkanian in NV and Katrina Pierson if she follows through on challenging Cruz.

He could also make life a lot harder for establishment candidates running for Dem-held seats who attempt to distance themselves from him, especially somewhere like PA or IN where the primary is already crowded and potentially divisive.

There's very little reason for Rokita and Messer to distance themselves from Trump. At least at this juncture.
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Hoosier_Nick
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« Reply #6 on: August 19, 2017, 03:26:43 PM »

If Trump follows through on endorsing Ward, he probably won't have a problem endorsing Tarkanian in NV and Katrina Pierson if she follows through on challenging Cruz.

He could also make life a lot harder for establishment candidates running for Dem-held seats who attempt to distance themselves from him, especially somewhere like PA or IN where the primary is already crowded and potentially divisive.

There's very little reason for Rokita and Messer to distance themselves from Trump. At least at this juncture.

Although so far Rokita is more in line with the Trump wing of the state party and Messer with the Pence. And I imagine Rokita would like to position himself as such, but Messer may not be as willing to.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #7 on: August 20, 2017, 05:11:49 AM »

Nobody brought up Rafael Eduardo? They had/have a rocky relationship.
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Pollster
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« Reply #8 on: August 20, 2017, 10:17:28 PM »

If Trump follows through on endorsing Ward, he probably won't have a problem endorsing Tarkanian in NV and Katrina Pierson if she follows through on challenging Cruz.

He could also make life a lot harder for establishment candidates running for Dem-held seats who attempt to distance themselves from him, especially somewhere like PA or IN where the primary is already crowded and potentially divisive.

There's very little reason for Rokita and Messer to distance themselves from Trump. At least at this juncture.

Gallup has Trump underwater in Indiana, 47-48.  Likely that the GOP base is still with him, but in the general election the eventual GOP candidate may need to run further away from Trump than expected though not as much so as a traditional swing state, especially if numbers show Donnelly is strong post-primary. If this seems apparent then it is not impossible to picture Trump endorsing against the establishment-backed candidate.
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Pollster
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« Reply #9 on: August 20, 2017, 10:19:26 PM »

Does anybody know which year holds the record for the most incumbent Senators who lost their own primary in one cycle? If Trump follows through on his anti-incumbent endorsements it is possible within reason that the record could be broken.
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« Reply #10 on: August 21, 2017, 03:21:52 AM »

If he really falls out with the GOP, he could start going after House members like Ryan.
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Blair
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« Reply #11 on: August 21, 2017, 06:53:30 AM »

He won't go after Heller as vocally because of the healthcare vote.

His feud with Flake has been going on since last year, and tbh I can't really remember why
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #12 on: August 21, 2017, 10:19:53 PM »

He won't go after Heller as vocally because of the healthcare vote.

His feud with Flake has been going on since last year, and tbh I can't really remember why
Illegal immigration, I think?
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Greedo punched first
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« Reply #13 on: August 31, 2017, 02:25:55 PM »

Joe Arpaio might run.
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