Complete list of candidates who could plausibly get >50% of 2016 Sanders voters?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 20, 2024, 10:34:30 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Complete list of candidates who could plausibly get >50% of 2016 Sanders voters?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Complete list of candidates who could plausibly get >50% of 2016 Sanders voters?  (Read 400 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 11, 2017, 08:19:43 PM »

What is the complete list of candidates who could, in the course of the 2020 Democratic primaries, plausibly get the votes of a majority (not just a plurality) of 2016 Sanders primary voters?  Never mind if they're longshots to run in the first place.  Just list everyone who could conceivably run who appeal enough to Sanders voters that they could win the votes of a majority of them in the primaries.
Logged
(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31
Eharding
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,934


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 11, 2017, 08:22:30 PM »

Gabbard, Warren, Sanders, Baldwin
Logged
LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 11, 2017, 08:24:46 PM »

Warren
Brown
Sanders
Harris?

Depends on who the opponent(s) are


LOL. Gabbard isn't getting >50% of any demographic, not even close members of the Gabbard family.
Logged
(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31
Eharding
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,934


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 11, 2017, 08:34:31 PM »

Warren
Brown
Sanders
Harris?

Depends on who the opponent(s) are


LOL. Gabbard isn't getting >50% of any demographic, not even close members of the Gabbard family.

-That's where you're wrong:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=258627.0
Logged
(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31
Eharding
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,934


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: February 11, 2017, 08:36:31 PM »

Warren
Brown
Sanders
Harris?

Depends on who the opponent(s) are


LOL. Gabbard isn't getting >50% of any demographic, not even close members of the Gabbard family.

-Why would Brown and Harris get much of that purist 1860-GOP-type vote?
Logged
LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: February 11, 2017, 08:37:19 PM »

Warren
Brown
Sanders
Harris?

Depends on who the opponent(s) are


LOL. Gabbard isn't getting >50% of any demographic, not even close members of the Gabbard family.

-That's where you're wrong:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=258627.0

Atlas Democrats are dumb and entirely unrepresentative. Next.
Logged
(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31
Eharding
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,934


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: February 11, 2017, 08:58:24 PM »

Warren
Brown
Sanders
Harris?

Depends on who the opponent(s) are


LOL. Gabbard isn't getting >50% of any demographic, not even close members of the Gabbard family.

-That's where you're wrong:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=258627.0

Atlas Democrats are dumb and entirely unrepresentative. Next.

-I don't think you want to find out the average IQ (as measured by any objective tests) of HRC's primary base (though I would!). Atlas Democrats are entirely unrepresentative of under-30 Dem men, but their primary preferences weren't that different from the actual outcome in the primary.
Logged
Ridge
Rookie
**
Posts: 48
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 11, 2017, 09:28:05 PM »

Warren can quickly get way more than 50% of the Sanders voters. I'm thinking somewhere north of 90%.

Gabbard can seriously contend for a little less than 30%, but she's in for a rough ride if she thinks her party's far left won't be disenchanted with her in 2 years.

Sherrod Brown? Name recognition will be half the battle. The other half will be just how liberal the Democrats are and how populist the GOP will become.

Logged
(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31
Eharding
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,934


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 11, 2017, 09:29:06 PM »

Warren can quickly get way more than 50% of the Sanders voters. I'm thinking somewhere north of 90%.

Gabbard can seriously contend for a little less than 30%, but she's in for a rough ride if she thinks her party's far left won't be disenchanted with her in 2 years.

Sherrod Brown? Name recognition will be half the battle. The other half will be just how liberal the Democrats are and how populist the GOP will become.



-Warren is sure to get under 90%, Gabbard over 50% (though not sure by how much).
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,173


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: February 11, 2017, 10:10:34 PM »

Really anyone could, if it ends up being a two-person race at the end.
Logged
Hoosier_Nick
Nicholas_Roberts
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 754
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.03, S: -7.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: February 12, 2017, 12:07:22 AM »

I agree with the people that say it depends on the other candidates, because it really does. Impossible to guess without knowing the candidates who'd make it deep.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.222 seconds with 13 queries.