The Democrat field has hit 20 declared* candidates!!

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

Exciting! A historically gargantuan field! And likely more to come!

Declared* meaning they're officially in, exploratory committee, or have otherwise unambiguously signaled their intent.

The twenty are the following:
Bennet, Booker, Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Harris, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, O'Rourke, Ryan, Sanders, Swalwell, Warren, Williamson, Yang.

So, how do you rank them:

In terms of likelihood of winning the nomination? And your personal preferences?

And, one last question - who else is likely to get in? Who, if any, of: Biden, Abrams, Moulton, McAuliffe, de Blasio, and Bullock, will decide to run? And is there anyone else waiting? 

[bagelman]

Bennet, Booker, Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Harris, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, O'Rourke, Ryan, Sanders, Swalwell, Warren, Williamson, Yang.

Likilehood to win: Dunno, sadly not great due to homophobia and his funny name, bad, awful, not great, not too bad, awful, far worse than one might think, bad, , bad as she's abusive, , not bad, laughable, good but has vulnerabilities, , not as good as Sanders, , fairly bad.

Personal preference: Not really, no, maybe, Never, Never, not really, not really but could be worse, no, hell no, barely a democrat, who?, not voting for a bully, who?, no, Never, Yes, who?, maybe, who?, not really.

And, one last question - who else is likely to get in? Who, if any, of: Biden, Abrams, Moulton, McAuliffe, de Blasio, and Bullock, will decide to run? And is there anyone else waiting? 

Yes and will flop, no, no, no, no, probably not.

[here2view]

Likelihood to win on the left and personal preference on the right

Bennet: Not too good / like a lot
Booker: A step above Gillibrand / As a teacher, he's a fraud
Buttigieg: Not too good due to homophobia IMO / love
Castro: no chance / meh
Delaney: LOL / nah
Gabbard: Nope / nah
Gillibrand: No chance with her polling numbers / she's okay
Gravel: stop
Harris: decent chance / she's seems pretty good
Hickenlooper: not in this day and age / he's fine
Inslee: not as a single issue candidate / no clue
Klobuchar: not that good / she's fine
Messam: LOL / who?
O'Rourke: pretty good / love
Ryan: LOL / don't care
Sanders: ok but overrated / he's fine
Swalwell: LOL / don't care
Warren: not good / As her constituent she's ok but Trump would beat her - I've said this before
Williamson: LOL / don't care
Yang: very small but noteworthy / Yang Gang

[Progressive Pessimist]

I still think that Bennet, Biden, Bullock, de Blasio, and McAuliffe will all run. Why the f*** not at this point?

[Meatball Ron]

Bennet: Close to zero / like him fine but don't think he adds anything unique or important to the race
Booker: Low but not out of the question / don't love him, don't trust him, but not the worst option
Buttigieg: Low, and I think his star will fade / refreshing and hopefully has a bright future but his coverage is ridiculous and undeserved
Castro: Close to zero / like him and hope he's considered for VP or has an opportunity for statewide office soon
Delaney: Zero / awful
Gabbard: Zero / awful
Gillibrand: Low but probably not as low as people think, have an easy time seeing her break out / top choice
Gravel: Zero / entertaining and has some good ideas
Harris: Decent / like her a lot, second choice
Hickenlooper: Close to zero / like him fine but don't think he adds anything unique or important to the race
Inslee: Close to zero / like him and hope his message on climate change pushes the eventual nominee in that direction and stays active in the conversation
Klobuchar: Lower than Gillibrand and similar to Booker / find her a bit boring and worry somewhat about the abusive allegations but overall am net positive (the abuse allegations likely inflated by sexist double standards)
Messam: Zero / why is he running?
O'Rourke: Decent / like him for who he is but can't stand the coverage of his campaign and find him to be generally egotistic and undeserving of a major role in this field
Ryan: Close to zero / like him fine but don't think he adds anything unique or important to the race
Sanders: Lower than people think / supported him in 2016 but think his time has passed and can't stand his supporters
Swalwell: Zero / why is he running?
Warren: Low / huge fan but one of the only candidates whose electability I genuinely worry about (even if I see the flaws with that concept)
Williamson: Zero / seems like a good person but why is she running?
Yang: Zero / annoying meme candidate whose position on circumcision feels playfully anti-semitic


Biden: yes, he'll run
Abrams: no, I think she'll declare for Sen-2020
Moulton: 50/50; he seems a bit smarter than Swalwell/Ryan/McAuliffe/etc. so hopefully he stays out
McAuliffe: Yeah unfortunately will probably run
De Blasio: probably not
Bullock: Seems highly likely

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Tip: referring to people who identify with the Democratic Party with the adjective "Democrat" blows your cover.

[John Dule]

Yang: Zero / annoying meme candidate whose position on circumcision feels playfully anti-semitic

Privately choosing to not mutilate your son's genitals is anti-Semitic, you racist alt-righter!

[Hoosier_Nick]

Likelihood to win, all estimates:

Bennet:  0.25%
Booker: Not bad, probably around 4%
Buttigieg: Increasing, around 10%
Castro: Negligible, would need to really energize his Latin base, 1%
Delaney: lol, 0%
Gabbard: would need Bernie to completely collapse, 0.01%
Gillibrand: 1%
Gravel: lol, 0%
Harris: 20%
Hickenlooper: maybe around 0.5%
Inslee: 1%
Klobuchar: I was a Klobuchar fan at first, but others have taken her lane. 2%
Messam: 0%
O'Rourke: 10%
Ryan: 0.5%
Sanders: 20%
Swalwell: 0.1%
Warren: people are underestimating her chances, she is definitely a possible nominee 5%
Williamson: 0%
Yang: 0.5%

Biden probably has about 15% too, and the others have the remaining (Abrams being the most likely outside of Biden and announced candidates)