2016 Total House Vote by State
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  2016 Total House Vote by State
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Author Topic: 2016 Total House Vote by State  (Read 1265 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« on: January 22, 2017, 03:07:33 PM »

Very, very similar to the presidential map, though some states, like Texas and Georgia, weren't at all close when it was a Generic R.



Close States:
Virginia: D+ 0.43
Nevada: D+ 0.92

Colorado: R+ 0.92
Michigan: R+ 1.06

New Hampshire: D+ 2.86
Minnesota: D+ 3.49
Maine: D+ 3.92
Wisconsin: D+ 3.96


Democrats won six of the eight states decided by fewer than five points.  NE-03 should actually be R>100, but Atlas doesn't have a designation for that.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2017, 03:39:39 PM »

Cool map! The GOP would have likely won VA and WI if it wasn't for VA-11 and WI-03 being uncontested. This was not the year to let Ron Kind run unopposed (he would have won by more than Collin Peterson did, but he wouldn't have broken 58%).

New Hampshire would have been R if Guinta wasn't such a corrupt idiot, and Minnesota may have also been R if Hagedorn and Hughes actually got help.
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Vosem
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« Reply #2 on: January 22, 2017, 04:44:00 PM »

Kind and Connolly being unopposed really skew these numbers; on the other hand, it's interesting to me that Grijalva being unopposed in Arizona wasn't enough to flip the state. Goes to show the population difference between Republican and Democratic districts there.

Very impressive that House Republicans actually carried Michigan, though the map with Michigan going R but Wisconsin staying D offends my sensibilities (much the way North Carolina voting D in the 2012 House map, but Virginia R, also annoyed me).
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #3 on: January 22, 2017, 04:52:55 PM »

Kind and Connolly being unopposed really skew these numbers; on the other hand, it's interesting to me that Grijalva being unopposed in Arizona wasn't enough to flip the state. Goes to show the population difference between Republican and Democratic districts there.

Very impressive that House Republicans actually carried Michigan, though the map with Michigan going R but Wisconsin staying D offends my sensibilities (much the way North Carolina voting D in the 2012 House map, but Virginia R, also annoyed me).
Forgot that Grijalva was unopposed. Funny how just a little over 8 years ago he nearly lost to a White Republican (after he told people to boycott his own state, however). Gosar and Franks running up big margins, as well as McSally winning by over 13 in a Clinton district offset Grijalva and O'Halleran's overperformance (against one of the worst candidates, of course). Also, Grijalva is pretty controversial so it's possible a lot of conservatives in that district left their ballots blank (I would have if I lived there). Speaking of offending your sensibilities, New Hampshire makes maps look very ugly when it goes R but Maine does not.

Does anyone have the 2012 map? I'm too lazy to make one myself, sorry.
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MarkD
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« Reply #4 on: January 22, 2017, 05:02:04 PM »

Kind and Connolly being unopposed really skew these numbers; on the other hand, it's interesting to me that Grijalva being unopposed in Arizona wasn't enough to flip the state. Goes to show the population difference between Republican and Democratic districts there.

Very impressive that House Republicans actually carried Michigan, though the map with Michigan going R but Wisconsin staying D offends my sensibilities (much the way North Carolina voting D in the 2012 House map, but Virginia R, also annoyed me).

Population differences, or just the differences in voter turnout between the heavily Hispanic districts compared to the predominantly non-Hispanic districts (just like in CA and TX)? Even if Grijalva had a Republican opponent, that hardly ensures a larger voter turnout in AZ-03 or in AZ-07.
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nclib
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« Reply #5 on: January 22, 2017, 09:10:20 PM »

Perhaps for unopposed races, a CD could be put as voting the same way as for Pres. to make it apples-to-apples.
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nclib
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« Reply #6 on: January 22, 2017, 09:20:39 PM »

States voting differently for Pres. than for House: WI, CO
States voting differently in total House votes than delegation: WI, VA
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