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Author Topic: AZ Senate  (Read 1835 times)
Vincent
azpol76
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« on: July 20, 2005, 02:16:32 PM »
State Democratic Chairman Jim Pederson, who just resigned is the likely challanger to  Sen. Jon Kyl.
http://phoenix.bizjournals.com/phoenix/stories/2005/07/18/daily20.html

I dont think he has much of a chance, but it should be an interesting race. It has been quite a while since Arizona has had a competative Senate campaign.

Here is some polling data I came accross from may:
http://www.mydd.com/story/2005/5/2/1298/72701
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AuH2O
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« Reply #1 on: July 20, 2005, 02:48:46 PM »
** SMOKED **
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Emsworth
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« Reply #2 on: July 20, 2005, 04:51:43 PM »
Having to resort to a party chairman as a Senate candidate is not a particularly good sign.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #3 on: July 20, 2005, 05:47:43 PM »
Quote from: Emsworth on July 20, 2005, 04:51:43 PM
Having to resort to a party chairman as a Senate candidate is not a particularly good sign.

^^^^^^^^

Of course, at least the Democrats are running a candidate this time around.
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Vincent
azpol76
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« Reply #4 on: July 20, 2005, 06:20:04 PM »
Quote from: Senator Sam Spade on July 20, 2005, 05:47:43 PM
Quote from: Emsworth on July 20, 2005, 04:51:43 PM
Having to resort to a party chairman as a Senate candidate is not a particularly good sign.

^^^^^^^^

Of course, at least the Democrats are running a candidate this time around.

That was my point.
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Max Power
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« Reply #5 on: July 20, 2005, 07:51:20 PM »
When I went to the brilliant minds at Democratic Underground, one member tried to argue with me about how Kyl will loose re-election, and how Kucinich would win Ohio in an election. Kyl has a 89.2357% chance of winning.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
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« Reply #6 on: July 20, 2005, 07:59:43 PM »
Yes, Kyl will likely win but Pederson has lots and lots of money and will put up a good fight.

I don't think this will be as much of a blowout as many people think.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #7 on: July 20, 2005, 09:38:25 PM »
Quote from: Max Power on July 20, 2005, 07:51:20 PM
When I went to the brilliant minds at Democratic Underground, one member tried to argue with me about how Kyl will loose re-election, and how Kucinich would win Ohio in an election. Kyl has a 89.2357% chance of winning.

Add ten percent to your percentage chance of Kyl winning and you have the correct number.
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nini2287
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« Reply #8 on: July 20, 2005, 10:03:22 PM »
Quote from: Emsworth on July 20, 2005, 04:51:43 PM
Having to resort to a party chairman as a Senate candidate is not a particularly good sign.

That's true.  I wish the Dems would find a stronger candidate since Kyl's approval numbers weren't that great.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
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« Reply #9 on: July 20, 2005, 10:25:51 PM »
Why do you automatically assume a state party chairman isn't a strong candidate?

Mark Warner, among others,was a former state party chair.
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AuH2O
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« Reply #10 on: July 20, 2005, 10:28:36 PM »
lol Kyl isn't going anywhere. Especially not after the immigration bill he just introduced.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
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« Reply #11 on: July 20, 2005, 10:30:39 PM »
Quote from: AuH2O on July 20, 2005, 10:28:36 PM
lol Kyl isn't going anywhere. Especially not after the immigration bill he just introduced.

I just heard about that today.

It's the first piece of Republican legislation I agree with in the past few years! I hope everyone gets behind it.
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Max Power
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« Reply #12 on: July 20, 2005, 11:15:35 PM »
« Edited: July 20, 2005, 11:22:07 PM by Casey Reese »
Quote from: Scoonie on July 20, 2005, 10:30:39 PM
Quote from: AuH2O on July 20, 2005, 10:28:36 PM
lol Kyl isn't going anywhere. Especially not after the immigration bill he just introduced.

I just heard about that today.

It's the first piece of Republican legislation I agree with in the past few years! I hope everyone gets behind it.
Are you serious? Do you really want to deport all immigrants? That bill is extremely unconstitutional.
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King
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« Reply #13 on: July 20, 2005, 11:21:01 PM »
Quote from: Scoonie on July 20, 2005, 07:59:43 PM
Yes, Kyl will likely win but Pederson has lots and lots of money and will put up a good fight.

Pederson has money? How much?
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AuH2O
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« Reply #14 on: July 20, 2005, 11:49:35 PM »
Quote from: Max Power on July 20, 2005, 11:15:35 PM
Quote from: Scoonie on July 20, 2005, 10:30:39 PM
Quote from: AuH2O on July 20, 2005, 10:28:36 PM
lol Kyl isn't going anywhere. Especially not after the immigration bill he just introduced.

I just heard about that today.

It's the first piece of Republican legislation I agree with in the past few years! I hope everyone gets behind it.
Are you serious? Do you really want to deport all immigrants? That bill is extremely unconstitutional.

That's not the bill. It's all voluntary but goes after corporations and requires worker permits to stay on legally in the US. Also means immigrants can't be paid less than minimum wage which liberals should like, and improves security in various ways.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
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« Reply #15 on: July 21, 2005, 08:24:48 AM »
« Edited: July 21, 2005, 08:27:41 AM by Scoonie »

Something ridiculous, more than a hundred million.

He is extremely wealthy from real estate. I think he made most of his money developing shopping malls over the past 25 years. He will be able to self-finance much of his campaign if he wants.



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