Are you surprised that only 4 Arkansas counties swung left?

[TDAS04]

Are surprised that Arkansas's former First Lady performed worse than Obama in all but 4 of the state's counties?

[Crumpets]

Yes. It's easy to imagine what a two-time Obama/Trump voter is like in Michigan or Pennsylvania. It's much more difficult in Arkansas.

[Chunk Yogurt for President!]

Well, to be fair, she never actually held elected office there.

[rbt48]

I'm not at all surprised, personally.  I didn't view her as being enamored by residents of the state.  After Clinton's two terms of office, she (they) didn't move back to Arkansas.  Also, she was much more liberal than her husband was when he ran in 1992 and 1996. 

[Intell]

No her campaign in 16', were anathema in areas like this. If she ran a Clinton 08' campaign - Trump being considered a "populist factor", Arkansas and other such areas would've swung to Clinton.

[Tender Branson]

Not surprised really.

The people of AR always saw her as a librul carpetbagger anyway, not belonging to the South.

[Intell]

Not surprised really.

The people of AR always saw her as a librul carpetbagger anyway, not belonging to the South.

No, not really.

[Santander]

Not surprised really.

The people of AR always saw her as a librul carpetbagger anyway, not belonging to the South.

It's not carpetbagging if you move there to live with your husband.

[VPH]

What's with Woodruff County voting twice for Obama? Seems to be a majority White county and it doesn't look like a college county as far as I can tell.

[Gass3268]

Pretty funny that even though only 4 counties swung to Clinton, both the 2nd and 3rd districts swung to her.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Not in the slightest.

[Cruzcrew]

If black turnout was down around the country, that should at least in part explain this shift with Arkansas having a decent size black population.

[Figueira]

Kind of, but not really.

I wonder if Arkansas would have swung even further right without Clinton's home state effect, or if she simply had no advantage there at all.

[Kingpoleon]

Kind of, but not really.

I wonder if Arkansas would have swung even further right without Clinton's home state effect, or if she simply had no advantage there at all.

She has no advantage here. Hillary has made it very clear she's willing to throw Bill Clinton's ideology to the winds and embrace his horrible persona.

[catographer]

Yes. It's easy to imagine what a two-time Obama/Trump voter is like in Michigan or Pennsylvania. It's much more difficult in Arkansas.

It was a consistent event in nearly all rural counties. Rural whites, especially rural southern and midwestern whites, swung away from the Democrat to the Republican. It happened in 2012 and it just accelerated in 2016. At some point the GOP won't have anymore white southerners to win, but that won't happen until these counties become 70-80% GOP. The reddest counties in West Virginia and eastern Kentucky swung even redder this year, because the few poor whites in coal country who voted for Obama went to Trump.

[hopper]

I'm not at all surprised, personally.  I didn't view her as being enamored by residents of the state.  After Clinton's two terms of office, she (they) didn't move back to Arkansas.  Also, she was much more liberal than her husband was when he ran in 1992 and 1996. 

On fiscal issues he is definitely more conservative but on Foreign Policy she is more of a hawk than he is.