List of Trump-Biden counties?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 04:10:01 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  List of Trump-Biden counties?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: List of Trump-Biden counties?  (Read 800 times)
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 10, 2020, 04:58:25 PM »

Does anyone have a list yet made of counties that voted for Trump but are now expected to vote for Biden?

Will be interesting to see how many of those are Obama-Trump-Biden counties as well as how many are Romney-Trump-Biden counties. Maricopa and Tarrant are I imagine the two biggest in the latter category.
Logged
mileslunn
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,837
Canada


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2020, 05:33:31 PM »

Let me give it a stab going from West to East.  Probably some minor changes

Washington:

Clallam County

Oregon:

Marion County
Deschutes County

California:

Butte County
Inyo County

Idaho:

Teton County

Utah:

Grand County

Arizona:

Maricopa County

Montana:

Blaine County

Wyoming:

Albany County

Colorado:

Garfield County
Pueblo County
Chaffee County

South Dakota:

Ziebach County

Kansas:

Johnson County
Shawnee County
Riley County

Texas:

Hays County
Williamson County
Tarrant County

Minnesota:

Clay County
Nicollet County
Blue Earth County
Winona County

Wisconsin:

Door County
Sauk County

Illinois:

Kendall County
McLean County

Indiana:

Tippecanoe County

Michigan:

Leelanau County
Saginaw County
Kent County

Ohio:

Montgomery County

Mississippi:

Warren County

Maine:

Kennebec County

New Hampshire:

Carroll County
Sullivan County
Hillsborough County
Rockingham County

Rhode Island:

Kent County

New Jersey:

Morris County
Gloucester County

Pennsylvania:

Erie County
Northampton County

Delaware:

Kent County

Maryland:

Frederick County
Kent County

Virginia:

Lynchburg
Chesapeake
Virginia Beach
Stafford County
James City
Chesterfield County

North Carolina:

New Hanover County
Nash County

Florida:

Pinellas County
Seminole County
Duval County

So a fair number of pickups, but nothing like 2008 or 2016.  Also number of pickups not always indicative.  Biden lost one county in Georgia while picked up three in Florida but won Georgia due to gains in metro Atlanta and fell further behind in Florida due to losses in Miami-Dade County.  In Wisconsin, the two counties Biden flipped were fairly rural and not reason he flipped state.  He flipped state by winning Milwaukee and Dane counties by bigger margins due to higher turnout while reduced Trump's margins in WOW counties.  Now note those are not final with more still to be counted, but I can only see a few being added or subtracted.
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,098
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 10, 2020, 05:41:54 PM »

Maricopa (AZ), Kent (DE), Duval (FL), Seminole (FL), Pinellas (FL), Johnson (KS), Riley (KS), Shawnee (KS), Frederick (MD), Kent (MI), Saginaw (MI), Leelanau (MI), Clay (MN), Hillsborough (NH), Morris (NJ), Gloucester (NJ), Deschutes (OR), Montgomery (OH), Erie (PA), Northampton (PA), Tarrant (TX), Door (WI), Sauk (WI), Albany (WY). Definitely more that I'm forgetting.
Logged
cg41386
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 987
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.39, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2020, 05:50:47 PM »

^^James City County, Virginia. It's a county rather than a city.
Logged
iceman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,050
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2020, 06:21:08 PM »
« Edited: November 10, 2020, 06:24:40 PM by iceman »

4 out of the 5 Kent counties in america flipped to DEMS!!!

Kent, DE
Kent, MD
Kent, RI
Kent, MI
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 10, 2020, 06:22:44 PM »

4 out of the 5 Kent counties in america flipped to DEMS!!!

Kent, DE
Kent, MD
Kent, ME
Kent, MI

What's the fifth?
Logged
iceman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,050
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 10, 2020, 06:23:36 PM »

4 out of the 5 Kent counties in america flipped to DEMS!!!

Kent, DE
Kent, MD
Kent, ME
Kent, MI

What's the fifth?

Kent, TX which is lopsidedly Trump.



The original Kent county though in England is a fairly conservative county southeast of London.
Logged
Battista Minola 1616
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,452
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 10, 2020, 07:04:12 PM »

4 out of the 5 Kent counties in america flipped to DEMS!!!

Kent, DE
Kent, MD
Kent, ME
Kent, MI

What's the fifth?

Kent, TX which is lopsidedly Trump.



The original Kent county though in England is a fairly conservative county southeast of London.

Kent County, TX, is actually quite funny, it has fewer than 1,000 inhabitants and it actually swung towards Trump by almost ten points.
Logged
Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,719


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 10, 2020, 07:28:02 PM »

Kansas:
Johnson County
Shawnee County
Riley County

I have to say, I did not see Shawnee coming. Obama couldn't even do it in 2008.
Logged
mileslunn
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,837
Canada


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 10, 2020, 08:38:46 PM »

Kansas:
Johnson County
Shawnee County
Riley County

I have to say, I did not see Shawnee coming. Obama couldn't even do it in 2008.

I saw it coming as Trump barely won it in 2016.  Its a state capitol so with lots of civil servants, probably higher number are college educated.
Logged
Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,719


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 10, 2020, 09:42:20 PM »

Kansas:
Johnson County
Shawnee County
Riley County

I have to say, I did not see Shawnee coming. Obama couldn't even do it in 2008.

I saw it coming as Trump barely won it in 2016.  Its a state capitol so with lots of civil servants, probably higher number are college educated.

It's kind of the same situation as Missouri's Jefferson City/Columbia thing, actually - those demographics end up in Lawrence instead. Combine that with the weird amount of racial tension for a non-Southern city (so whites are even more R than usual) and you get an unusually conservative state capital.
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 10, 2020, 10:23:52 PM »

4 out of the 5 Kent counties in america flipped to DEMS!!!

Kent, DE
Kent, MD
Kent, ME
Kent, MI

What's the fifth?

Kent, TX which is lopsidedly Trump.



The original Kent county though in England is a fairly conservative county southeast of London.

Much better than Biden did in Clark counties:
AR - Trump Trump
ID - Trump Trump
IL - Trump Trump
IN - Trump Trump
KS - Trump Trump
MO - Trump Trump
NV - Clinton Biden
OH - Trump Trump
SD - Trump Trump
WA - Clinton Biden
WI - Trump Trump

The only Clark County where Biden made significant gains over Clinton was Clark County, WA (Vancouver), which is a growing part of the Portland metro.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.226 seconds with 11 queries.