Connecticut
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Author Topic: Connecticut  (Read 290 times)
vileplume
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« on: November 12, 2016, 04:32:19 AM »

The results in Connecticut are interesting because of the complete divergence between different parts of the state. Trump did pretty well here for the most part closing the state-wide margin from 17.3% in 2012 to 12.1% but one part of the state was an utter disaster for him:

Fairfield: 2012: D+10.6%, 2016: D+20.3%, Swing: D+9.7%
Hartford: 2012: D+25.9%, 2016: D+21.5%, Swing: R+4.4%
Lichfield: 2012: R+3.6%, 2016: R+13.9%, Swing: R+10.3%
Middlesex: 2012: D+15.9%, 2016: D+7.3%, Swing: R+8.6%
New Haven: 2012: D+22.4%, 2016: D+12.1%, Swing: R+10.3%
New London: 2012: D+18.3%, 2016: D+6.8%, Swing: R+11.5%
Tolland: 2012: D+12.6%, 2016: D+5.8%, Swing: R+6.8%
Windham: 2012: D+13.3%, 2016: R+7.9%, Swing: R+21.2%

The swing in Windham County to Trump was absolutely massive with double digit swings also occurring in Lichfield, New Haven and New London.

On the other hand Trump's performance in Fairfield County was cataclysmic and pretty shocking if you compare it to past electoral behaviour of the state. I believe he even managed to lose the wealthy Republican strongholds along the coast like Darien Town. Fairfield went from being Mitt Romney's second best county in the state to Donald Trump's second worst only 1.2% better than Hartford county where Obama easily broke 60%!!! The result in Fairfield County for Trump was nearly as bad as the one Barry Goldwater achieved in his '64 landslide defeat when he lost the county by 21.6% compared to Trump's loss of 20.3% in a nationwide win.

It seems Donald Trump did collapse in certain bits of white, very wealthy suburbia but it was in places like Fairfield county which is of no benefit to helping Clinton to win the election due to the electoral college system.
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jfern
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« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2016, 04:37:31 AM »

No surprise that Hillary did well in some rich suburbs 5 miles from her home.
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