Deborah Ross for Congress

[BuckeyeNut]

If Ross doesn't make it into the Senate, which seems exceedingly likely, could she make it into the House? It looks like she lives in NC-04, which is pretty friendly (D+17), though Rep. Price would need to retire. If it isn't the 4th, it's NC-13, which is significantly less friendly (R+9).

Anyone know how redistricting could change all this?

[Heisenberg]

If Ross doesn't make it into the Senate, which seems exceedingly likely, could she make it into the House? It looks like she lives in NC-04, which is pretty friendly (D+17), though Rep. Price would need to retire. If it isn't the 4th, it's NC-13, which is significantly less friendly (R+9).

Anyone know how redistricting could change all this?

No way will she win an R+9 district if she loses statewide in a state that's only R+2. Anyway, IIRC the 13th district was moved outside Raleigh and into the Greensboro/Winston Salem area. If Ross doesn't live in the 4th, then I think it would be the 2nd (Holding's R-friendly district) where her home is. But remember, you don't have to live in the district to run for the House, just the state.

[Miles]

Brad Miller probably has the right of first refusal for NC-04.

Sounds plausible to me, though I'd much rather have Chris Rey run for Price's seat when it opens up.

The district doesn't go into Cumberland County anymore.

[Figueira]

I like Ross so I hope her career continues even if she loses.

[TarHeelDem]

She's not going to lose.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

I'm still holding out for Congressman Aiken.

[Figueira]

She's not going to lose.

Anything you know that we don't?

I think it's a tossup, FWIW.

[BuckeyeNut]

I'm still holding out for Congressman Aiken.

Oh, met too, brother. Me too. Maybe some local office before he swings for the House again...

[Maxwell]

I wouldn't be so sure - Remember that Thom Tillis trailed in the polls before his surprise win in 2014.

[BuckeyeNut]

She's not going to lose.

Anything you know that we don't?

I think it's a tossup, FWIW.

Yeah, is there? I'm hopeful, but in no way confident.

[Shadows]

I see her losing narrowly by 2% odd. I don't see her going the GOP. It will be awesome to have a strong progressive block in Sanders, Warren, Feingold, Brown, Merkley, Ross in the Senate! I can see this strong block influencing the policy for years.

[nclib]

I would love to see Ross run here in NC-4 once Price retires. She may be too liberal for the state, but would be absolutely fine for NC-4. I know Brad Miller's sister, who said that Miller has no plans to run in the 4th despite the rumor.

[nclib]

I see her losing narrowly by 2% odd. I don't see her going the GOP. It will be awesome to have a strong progressive block in Sanders, Warren, Feingold, Brown, Merkley, Ross in the Senate! I can see this strong block influencing the policy for years.

I don't understand why you'd group Ross with the others you mentioned. I assumed that she was a fairly standard centrist Democrat?

She's a liberal, having led the NC-ACLU and represented a safe Dem state House seat. If she wins, I don't know if she would move to the center to represent NC/get reelected.