5 Most Likely Headlines on November 9th

[Devout Centrist]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/youll-likely-be-reading-one-of-these-5-articles-the-day-after-the-election/

FYI, if scenario 1 occurs, I'm giving massive credit to TN Volunteer calling it after the first debate.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

hmm, mine is "Trump refuses to concede despite getting walloped by Hillary Clinton"

[Terry the Fat Shark]

as per results I'm thinking #3 right now...

[MIKESOWELL]

"HILLARY IN A LANDSLIDE"

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

The more interesting headline will be from Inauguration Day, 2017:

"Secret Service and DC National Guard troops clash with 200 Second Amendment advocates attempting to openly carry rifles on National Mall."

[Figueira]

Interesting how Bayh only wins in the first two scenarios despite 538 having that as one of the most likely Democratic pickups.

[PeteB]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/youll-likely-be-reading-one-of-these-5-articles-the-day-after-the-election/

FYI, if scenario 1 occurs, I'm giving massive credit to TN Volunteer calling it after the first debate.

You can share that massive credit around :

........Finally he (Trump) will lose "yooge" in the GE and his coattails will sink many GOP Governors, Senators, Representatives and other office holders, with him.  Goldwater's 1964 result (38.5%) will be an unattainable goal for Donald J. Trump, unsuccessful candidate for "Entertainer in Chief".  In short, this will be a political bloodbath that will destroy the political landscape, as we know it today.
....

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Hillary Landslides, stunning confident Trump Campaign

Sub-heading: Third-Party wins state for first time in nearly 50 years

(Referring to McMullin winning Utah)

[heatcharger]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/youll-likely-be-reading-one-of-these-5-articles-the-day-after-the-election/

FYI, if scenario 1 occurs, I'm giving massive credit to TN Volunteer calling it after the first debate.

Lol why do people think TNVol is some genius prognosticator? He thought the PA senate race was Likely R until after the DNC. Besides 90% of this forum called it after the debate.

Anyways, Scenario 2 will be boring, but in a good way.

[ursulahx]

An article which hits 538's usual high standards of prediction.

"Here are all the things that could possibly happen. One of them will happen."
[One of the things happens.]
'Wow, that Nate Silver, he's a genius!"

(Yes, I know Silver didn't write that article.)

Anyway, I think no.2 is the most likely outcome; but, honestly, this whole article just comes across as a space filler. "Dave, we need something to increase the traffic two weeks out!"

[Crumpets]

The link doesn't actually give any headlines, so I'll make some to go with their scenarios.

Scenario 1 - MADAM PRESIDENT - CLINTON SWEEPS BATTLEGROUNDS IN HISTORIC WIN

Scenario 2 - CLINTON SHATTERS GLASS CEILING

Scenario 3 - CLINTON WINS PRESIDENCY, DEMS RETAKE SENATE

Scenario 4 - EARLY RETURNS SHOW CLOSE RESULTS AFTER HISTORIC CAMPAIGN
- IIRC, a lot of east coast papers didn't declare a winner in their morning headlines in 2004 or 2012 because they have to settle on a headline by 11 Eastern.

Scenario 5 - HUGE - TRUMP SHOCKS THE WORLD


Meanwhile on Drudge, the one headline you'll be reading pretty much regardless:

RIGGED! PROOF OF VOTE FRAUD!

[Ogre Mage]

I'd agree that No. 2 "Modest Clinton Majority" scenario is the most likely.  However, Republicans will claim that Clinton has no mandate even if No. 1 "Clinton landslide" happens.