Cook Report founder Charlie Cook calling the race for Clinton

[ApatheticAustrian]

Take a close look at the new Fox News poll released tonight.  This race is OVER.
https://twitter.com/CharlieCookDC/status/786744777173786624

[Lief 🗽]

Didn't he call the race for Clinton in August? Or was that Stu Rothenburg?

[JA]

While I obviously hope that he is right (and that Clinton wins by a landslide), I reflexively dislike such presumptions of victory.

I always say, you should fight like you're going to lose, until you win.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Anything could still happen. i hope Clinton isn't going to start campaigning as if the race is over.

[Ronnie]

While I obviously hope that he is right (and that Clinton wins by a landslide), I reflexively dislike such presumptions of victory.

I normally do not like to count chickens before they hatch either, but Charlie Cook is correct.  Trump is dealing with historic deficits with women and Latinos, and there's no indication that he's doing what he needs to win nearly enough of them back over.  In fact, he has just been doubling down on the kind of rhetoric that alienates everyone but the forty percent of the country that would vote for him even if the media releases a tape of him mowing down people with a steamroller.

The cake is already baked for the presidential race.  The only questions I have in my mind are Hillary's margin of victory, but more importantly, control over the senate.

[ApatheticAustrian]

since charlie cook isn't a pundit but a brilliant, successful and reputable political analyst, who earns some big bucks for suscriptions to his site, he would absolutely lose on a financial and personal level if he made wrong assumptions on that level.

otherwise i wouldn't have made a thread for it in the first place....seems special.

[Holmes]

Anything could still happen. i hope Clinton isn't going to start campaigning as if the race is over.

She's thinking of campaigning in Arizona and Georgia after the third debate (she's going to be doing debate prep again soon). She probably had her last stops of the campaign in Colorado and Nevada the other day, though, and I can see Pennsylvania being almost off the table too (just how Obama didn't pay special attention to it in '08 despite McCain nearly camping out there near the end).

[ursulahx]

Bear in mind the Clinton campaign also has its own (supposedly superior) internal data, which will drive their decision about where and how much to campaign more than the polls will.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Clinton will continue to campaign in places like Pennsylvania and Nevada because of the senate races.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Didn't he call the race for Clinton in August? Or was that Stu Rothenburg?

That was Stu, and he's been unwavering in it even when Trump came back in the polls in September.

[rafta_rafta]

Is he really formally calling the race? Sounds to me like an informal assessment of the situation