PA-Monmouth: Clinton +10 and at 50
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 10, 2024, 02:48:09 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  PA-Monmouth: Clinton +10 and at 50
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: PA-Monmouth: Clinton +10 and at 50  (Read 3716 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: October 04, 2016, 05:51:49 PM »

And this is the same poll that has the Senate race tied? I just don't get it.

To be fair, McGinty is incredibly unimpressive a candidate.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,429
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: October 04, 2016, 05:54:08 PM »
« Edited: October 04, 2016, 06:00:22 PM by Jante's Law Revivalist »

And this is the same poll that has the Senate race tied? I just don't get it.

To be fair, McGinty is incredibly unimpressive a candidate.

It just doesn't match up with what the other polls are saying. Either it's an outlier that seriously oversampled Clinton/Toomey voters (presumably out of pure random luck), or McGinty is collapsing as we speak. Praying for the former.
Logged
Rand
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,276
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: October 04, 2016, 05:54:50 PM »

No way Pennsylvania is double digits.  Clinton +5 at best.

Because yuge Trump rallies? Shy Trump voters? Or did the Clinton campaign pay this partisan political pollster with aborted fetus souls to add an extra 5 points to her lead?
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: October 04, 2016, 06:01:47 PM »

And this is the same poll that has the Senate race tied? I just don't get it.

To be fair, McGinty is incredibly unimpressive a candidate.

It just doesn't match up with what the other polls are saying. Either it's an outlier that seriously oversampled Clinton/Toomey voters (presumably out of pure random luck), or McGinty is collapsing as we speak. Praying for the latter.

I just expect McGinty to under-perform Clinton.

Noting that this poll has Clinton+4 on McGinty (50 v 46) and Trump -6 on Toomey (40 v 46). So in this poll, McGinty isn't THAT weak, it's just that Toomey is stronger and there are fewer undecided or third-party.
Logged
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: October 04, 2016, 07:08:35 PM »

if those are shy-trump-voters this election could take a really ugly direction but such a high amount of shyness would be epic in its own size, so i doubt it very much.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,429
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: October 04, 2016, 07:16:35 PM »

And this is the same poll that has the Senate race tied? I just don't get it.

To be fair, McGinty is incredibly unimpressive a candidate.

It just doesn't match up with what the other polls are saying. Either it's an outlier that seriously oversampled Clinton/Toomey voters (presumably out of pure random luck), or McGinty is collapsing as we speak. Praying for the latter.

I just expect McGinty to under-perform Clinton.

Noting that this poll has Clinton+4 on McGinty (50 v 46) and Trump -6 on Toomey (40 v 46). So in this poll, McGinty isn't THAT weak, it's just that Toomey is stronger and there are fewer undecided or third-party.

But most polls don't show such a large gap. Most have McGinty 3-4 points behind Clinton at most. So if this signals a trend, it seems to be that more Clinton voters are going for Toomey instead of towing the party line. Which is bad news.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: October 04, 2016, 10:32:08 PM »

I wouldn't trust Monmouth, but I would trust F & M, which had Clinton up by 9. 
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,574
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: October 04, 2016, 10:32:33 PM »

I wouldn't trust Monmouth, but I would trust F & M, which had Clinton up by 9. 

Monmouth is a A+ pollster.
Logged
riceowl
riceowl315
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,365


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: October 04, 2016, 10:58:43 PM »

I wouldn't trust Monmouth, but I would trust F & M, which had Clinton up by 9. 

Monmouth is a A+ pollster.

THIS MONTH IS GOING TO BE SO FUN
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: October 05, 2016, 12:42:50 AM »

I wouldn't trust Monmouth, but I would trust F & M, which had Clinton up by 9. 

oh thank god you're finally back
Logged
riceowl
riceowl315
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,365


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: October 05, 2016, 07:13:10 AM »

I wouldn't trust Monmouth, but I would trust F & M, which had Clinton up by 9. 

oh thank god you're finally back

RIGHT??
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.226 seconds with 13 queries.