PA-Franklin and Marshall: McGinty +6, but many undecideds

[MT Treasurer]

41% Katie McGinty (D)
35% Pat Toomey (R, inc.)

http://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/2016/10/03/clinton-gains-in-new-fm-pennsylvania-poll/

[swf541]

Now Lean D

[Vosem]

Now Lean D

It's been Lean D for a while, unfortunately.

[heatcharger]

But I was told coattails didn't exist!

Now Lean D

It's been Lean D for a while.

[Ebsy]

Bye-bye Toomey!

[swf541]

Now Lean D

It's been Lean D for a while, unfortunately.

After my 2014 predictions I'm much more pessimistic on dem chances in general.

[Heisenberg]

If Republicans lose this, NV, MO, NC, and IN are all must-win, no room for error.

[Lief 🗽]

Incumbents at 35% in October don't win re-election.

[Xing]

Yeah, I don't think that this is a toss-up anymore. Toomey is running out of time to catch up.

[Antonio the Sixth]

It's a shame that she's 3 points behind Hillary, but that should still be close enough to carry her over the line.

[Figueira]

Great news! Why isn't it on 538 yet?

If Republicans lose this, NV, MO, NC, and IN are all must-win, no room for error.

Unless they somehow also win the presidency. Then they can afford to lose one of those along with IL, WI, NH, and PA.

[Lief 🗽]

Wow, it's been hours since this poll has released and it still hasn't been put into the 538 model. Discredited fraud Nate Silver, who must be sweating like a dog, is furiously trying to unskew this to prevent Clinton's win percentage from soaring to 80%! Sad!

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

I actually feel really bad for Phil right now.  Toomey's fairly inoffensive, gave a rat's ass after 26 people were murdered in my hometown, and I'd gladly exchange this seat for, say, Chico's.  If Pennsylvania has two Democratic senators, who will he work for afterwards?

[Heisenberg]

I actually feel really bad for Phil right now.  Toomey's fairly inoffensive, gave a rat's ass after 26 people were murdered in my hometown, and I'd gladly exchange this seat for, say, Chico's.  If Pennsylvania has two Democratic senators, who will he work for afterwards?

Depending on how things go, if he loses only narrowly, maybe he runs for the other seat in 2018. But there's also a good bench of people who could run instead. Also, I'd rather lose this seat than Chico's, because the GOP can eventually gain this one back if lost (6 or 12 years), while the Florida seat would be lost for a generation and a half or so.

[Figueira]

I actually feel really bad for Phil right now.  Toomey's fairly inoffensive, gave a rat's ass after 26 people were murdered in my hometown, and I'd gladly exchange this seat for, say, Chico's.  If Pennsylvania has two Democratic senators, who will he work for afterwards?

Toomey has some positives but generally he's just another Republican.