Latino Decisions: Clinton 72 Trump 17 (+55)

[HillOfANight]

https://twitter.com/LatinoDecisions/status/773946136193142788
http://www.latinodecisions.com/blog/2016/09/08/translating-trump-when-he-talks-immigration-what-latino-voters-hear/
http://www.latinodecisions.com/files/5414/7335/4941/AV_Trump_Immigration_Crosstab_Release.pdf

Clinton 72 (70)
Trump 17 (19)

The race has shifted 4 points away from Trump among Latinos in 1 week after his immigration speech.

Mexicans
Clinton 70
Trump 19

Puerto Ricans
Clinton 85
Trump 8

Cubans
Clinton 69
Trump 20

GOP
Clinton 23
Trump 72

[Xing]

Trump can't win with these numbers.

[Senator Spark]

All that matters is Cuban support

[Gass3268]

All that matters is Cuban support

And Trump is losing them worse than Romney did, also that Puerto Rican number will kill Trump in FL.

[Thank you for being a friend...]

If he doesn't stop with the Mexico crap, he's toast.  (:

[Matty]

Why are the network polls so different compared to the latino-activist organization polls?

[MasterJedi]

Why are the network polls so different compared to the latino-activist organization polls?

Networks likely don't poll in Spanish so less people will answer which will skew it.

[Matty]

Why are the network polls so different compared to the latino-activist organization polls?

Networks likely don't poll in Spanish so less people will answer which will skew it.

IDK, these democratic-latino organizations over-estimated obama support among latinos in 2012. I think polling in spanish is risky because non-english speakers are less likely to turn out.

[Wells]

Why are the network polls so different compared to the latino-activist organization polls?

Networks likely don't poll in Spanish so less people will answer which will skew it.

IDK, these democratic-latino organizations over-estimated obama support among latinos in 2012. I think polling in spanish is risky because non-english speakers are less likely to turn out.

Don't be too sure that Hispanic turnout will be low, especially with Trump on the ticket.

[Virginiá]

Why are the network polls so different compared to the latino-activist organization polls?

Networks likely don't poll in Spanish so less people will answer which will skew it.

IDK, these democratic-latino organizations over-estimated obama support among latinos in 2012. I think polling in spanish is risky because non-english speakers are less likely to turn out.

Are you sure? It's possible some of their polls overstated and/or understated, obviously, but take this one for example:

http://www.latinodecisions.com/blog/2012/10/01/wave-6-tracking-poll-obama-widens-lead-nationally-romney-closer-in-battleground-states/

73% - 23% Obama in their October poll, and according to Pew Hispanic, he ended up getting 71% after all was said and done. They ended up being pretty accurate. We'll just have to see what the polls say closer to election day, but I trust this outfit.

Also, as I understand it, voter registration numbers show spikes in Hispanic registrations, and given everything that has happened so far & Trump, it's likely we will see high Hispanic turnout this year.

[ProudModerate2]

Trump can't win with these numbers.

Agree.
Also, the Cuban and Puerto Rican numbers look really bad for trump's prospects in Florida.