Clinton Campaign Opening Offices in Texas?

[swf541]

http://www.fox34.com/story/32785115/taking-advantage-narrow-trump-lead-clinton-campaign-opening-lubbock-office

Just saw this a little while ago, seemed rather interesting

[Dr. Arch]

[Desroko]

Take the bait, fishy...

[Xing]

I hope they don't waste too much time in Texas. Then again, if they are willing to put money into Texas, they must be very confident in the states that actually matter.

[Ronnie]

Kick Trump while he's down, Hillary.  He deserves it.

[Virginiá]

If we want to win Texas, we have to start investing here at some point, even if we don't have a chance at winning it in any particular cycle. Clinton probably has a lot of extra resources given the current dynamics of this campaign, and spreading the wealth will pay dividends down the line both up and downballot.

On the other hand, I'd prefer she went hard at states with winnable Senate races first.

[Dr. Arch]

What would a narrow Clinton win look like in Texas anyways?

I want to be clear; I don't expect her to win it, but if she forces Trump to defend it then he won't be able to properly work on the states he actually needs. Not that he's doing it now, but you know what I mean.

[Xing]

What would a narrow Clinton win look like in Texas anyways?

I want to be clear; I don't expect her to win it, but if she forces Trump to defend it then he won't be able to properly work on the states he actually needs. Not that he's doing it now, but you know what I mean.

In order for Hillary to actually win Texas, I think several things would have to happen: Trump would have to really, really tank. Much more so than he already has, and he'd need to turn away a large number of Republicans. There would also have to be a very concentrated effort to get Latinos to turn out in record high numbers. Also, Johnson would probably need to pull away even more conservative voters. The map would have to look something like this:

That's not a prediction, just what conditions would look like if Hillary were to narrowly win Texas.

[Speed of Sound]

I dunno.....unless their internals are showing it competitive, this seems like it might be a bit of an overextension. Better to make GA/AZ/NC/IA/NV very serious possibilities than to only vaguely flirt with twice as many states, no?

[Holmes]

Lubbock is interesting. Romney won it by 41% and it's 75% white. It's doesn't seem to be a particularly rich or poor county. The Clinton campaign must be trying to maximize non-white turnout in the area.

What would a narrow Clinton win look like in Texas anyways?

A Democratic win in Texas probably goes through Tarrant county, so.... it would be a struggle.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Wonderful news.

[Seriously?]

Please Hillary! open up about 100 campaign offices in Texas and start putting up ads in the expensive Houston and Dallas markets. Throw that money away!

[Flake]

The Clinton campaign announced a long time ago that it was going to pursue a "50 state strategy". Probably just the little campaign office they're putting there to keep their word.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Please Hillary! open up about 100 campaign offices in Texas and start putting up ads in the expensive Houston and Dallas markets. Throw that money away!

So says someone supporting a candidate who does campaign events in Maine and Connecticut LOL

[Adam Griffin]

What would a narrow Clinton win look like in Texas anyways?

You could actually nerf the swing in rural or urban areas by a bit (good cases for doing either/both), considering that the state swing amount across the three categories was largely based on population rather than voter turnout, and suburban voters comprise a larger share of the electorate than they do the population.

[Sorenroy]

What would a narrow Clinton win look like in Texas anyways?

You could actually nerf the swing in rural or urban areas by a bit (good cases for doing either/both), considering that the state swing amount across the three categories was largely based on population rather than voter turnout, and suburban voters comprise a larger share of the electorate than they do the population.

Also, if you're wondering, here is the map where there is a universal 7.90% swing. The fact that much of Obama's support came from just a few urban areas is very clear as the map is basically only different in shading:

Actual Results:


7.90% Romney -> Obama:

Obama — 49.25%
Romney — 49.23%
Other — 1.52%