Which state is more likely to flip at this point?
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  Which state is more likely to flip at this point?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: ...
#1
Utah		  
#2
South Carolina		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 78

Author Topic: Which state is more likely to flip at this point?  (Read 768 times)
Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« on: August 12, 2016, 04:55:07 AM »
Huh
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President Johnson
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« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2016, 05:01:32 AM »
Utah. If Johnson takes enough votes away from Trump, Hillary could win it with about 36-40% of the vote.

Although a poll showed South Carolina to be close now, I think that the Donald will prevail in the end, maybe with a single-digit lead.
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #2 on: August 12, 2016, 09:54:59 AM »
UT
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: August 12, 2016, 10:57:36 AM »
If Romney actually endorses Johnson, Utah might become legitimately interesting. Otherwise, definitely South Carolina.
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Holmes
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« Reply #4 on: August 12, 2016, 11:04:18 AM »
South Carolina. It has a higher African-American population and Democrats have a floor of 44-45% (unless things go really wrong). There are less whites that need to cross over in South Carolina than in Utah to win it, and relying on some third (and fourth) party shenanigans to win rarely works out.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #5 on: August 12, 2016, 11:06:45 AM »
South Carolina, but Romney should still endorse Johnson and make a Mormon push to #dumptrump (or #takeadumpontrump).
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #6 on: August 12, 2016, 11:32:58 AM »
Quote from: MasterJedi on August 12, 2016, 11:06:45 AM
South Carolina, but Romney should still endorse Johnson and make a Mormon push to #dumptrump (or #takeadumpontrump).

I thought Romney was behind the whole McMuffin thing?  Giving pearl clutching Mormons someone respectable to vote for.
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #7 on: August 12, 2016, 11:59:44 AM »
South Carolina. Clinton needs Johnson (or that other guy who no one has heard of) to win something like 25 to 30 percent of the vote in Utah for her to have a chance. It could happen, but I think it would be easier for her to win South Carolina.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #8 on: August 12, 2016, 01:22:15 PM »
SC. As pointed out already, Dems have a ceiling of 42-46% in there. If Johnson doesn't fade, that may help Hillary to win it.

UT is a different ball game, unless Johnson tops 30%, which is very unlikely. I think he'll end up in the range between 15-20%; maybe 22%. Hillary is not very popular there and Dems ceiling is probably at 30-35%, which is not enough to put it into her column.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #9 on: August 12, 2016, 03:24:33 PM »
South Carolina. I would've said this even before the PPP poll.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: August 12, 2016, 11:15:20 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on August 12, 2016, 03:24:33 PM
South Carolina. I would've said this even before the PPP poll.

This. Neither will flip though.
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Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
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« Reply #11 on: August 12, 2016, 11:28:05 PM »
Utah, obviously. Our Lord and Savior, the #NeverTrump hero, the inspiration for 007 himself, Evan McMullin will split the Republican vote, leaving Turnip with 10% and a victorious Hillary Clinton winning Utah with 35%.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: August 13, 2016, 01:21:35 AM »
South Carolina.
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Hammy
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« Reply #13 on: August 13, 2016, 01:26:19 AM »
South Carolina, because in extreme circumstances it can be done without having to rely on a third party vote split like Utah.
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« Reply #14 on: August 13, 2016, 01:19:31 PM »
Might be worth noting that in 1992, Utah was one of Perot's best states (second place).  They're not completely hostile to third parties.
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LLR
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« Reply #15 on: August 13, 2016, 02:08:02 PM »
Thank you for being sane for once, Atlas.
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Former Senator Haslam2020
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« Reply #16 on: August 13, 2016, 03:01:50 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on August 12, 2016, 05:01:32 AM
Utah. If Johnson takes enough votes away from Trump, Hillary could win it with about 36-40% of the vote.

Although a poll showed South Carolina to be close now, I think that the Donald will prevail in the end, maybe with a single-digit lead.
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