Put a Rating on the US Senate for 2016 - Summer 2016
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Poll
Question: Put a rating on control of the US Senate
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 59

Author Topic: Put a Rating on the US Senate for 2016 - Summer 2016  (Read 721 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: July 31, 2016, 03:25:45 PM »


Previous threads:

Spring 2016
Winter 2016
Fall 2015
Summer 2015

Toss-up. The bellwether/median rating of mine is toss-up, though its clear that Democrats have to win less toss-ups than Republicans (only 2, if they win the presidency), so perhaps a slight edge towards Democrats at this point.
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windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2016, 03:41:43 PM »
Lean dem
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Nyvin
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« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2016, 04:26:29 PM »
Lean Dem
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2016, 04:31:32 PM »

Tossup. I have it at 48-48 with 4 races outstanding.



>60%: Safe
>40%: Likely
>30%: Lean
Green: Toss-up
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #4 on: July 31, 2016, 04:37:39 PM »
Pure tossup, still.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: July 31, 2016, 04:40:59 PM »
Toss-up/Tilt D
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #6 on: July 31, 2016, 04:53:12 PM »
Pure Tossup.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #7 on: July 31, 2016, 05:01:24 PM »
Lean R, but closer to Toss up than Likely R.
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Higgs
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« Reply #8 on: July 31, 2016, 05:07:47 PM »
Tossup/tilt R
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morgieb
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« Reply #9 on: July 31, 2016, 09:17:42 PM »
I voted Toss-Up, but really Tilt D is the best way of describing it.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #10 on: July 31, 2016, 10:18:28 PM »
Lean Dem. IL and WI are solid, and IN is looking pretty good now. The rest of the map is wide open with only a net pickup of 1 needed.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #11 on: August 01, 2016, 12:04:49 AM »
Tossup. Ohio and Florida seems slipping from Democrats, but Indiana gave them additional chance...
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #12 on: August 01, 2016, 07:11:11 AM »
Donald Trump could take some Senators down with him.  Approval ratings for incumbent Democratic Senators are good to great. Those for incumbent Republican Senators range from execrable to excellent. 
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JMT
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« Reply #13 on: August 01, 2016, 11:25:37 AM »
Tilt D, but could change before election day. My current map has Democrats with 51 seats and Republicans with 49. I don't think Republicans will pick up any seats, while Democrats will pick up NH, PA, IN, WI, and IL.

 
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Kevin
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« Reply #14 on: August 01, 2016, 12:25:57 PM »
Tossup/Lean D
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Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #15 on: August 01, 2016, 12:29:55 PM »
Democrats win in FL, WI, IL, and possibly NH. I haven't checked if any of the post Bayh entry polls have really changed the race, but I assume they'll take that state as well.

I don't think Missouri, Ohio, or Pennsylvania are as competitive as people assume.
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #16 on: August 01, 2016, 01:54:27 PM »


Tilt/Lean D.
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Mr. Reactionary
blackraisin
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« Reply #17 on: August 01, 2016, 02:54:49 PM »
Toss-Up
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