Will more Republican candidates skip Iowa in the future?
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  Will more Republican candidates skip Iowa in the future?
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Author Topic: Will more Republican candidates skip Iowa in the future?  (Read 409 times)
IceSpear
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« on: July 03, 2016, 04:17:46 PM »

All they'd need as ammunition are the past 3 victors: Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, Ted Cruz. What a great track record!

Obviously the candidates attempting to appeal more to evangelicals and such will have no incentive to skip it, but will it give the "establishment" candidates more incentive/cover to do so?
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2016, 04:29:51 PM »

They should. McCain skipped it in '08 and went on to win the nomination fairly easily. Making a halfhearted effort and doing badly (see Christie '16) doesn't work.
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Santander
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« Reply #2 on: July 03, 2016, 04:34:33 PM »

No, it's about time NH voters started listening to IA voters. NH voted for the eventual nominee all three times, and they might end up 0/3 in November.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: July 03, 2016, 04:41:06 PM »

No, it's about time NH voters started listening to IA voters. NH voted for the eventual nominee all three times, and they might end up 0/3 in November.

Do you really think Huckabee or Santorum would've won if they were the nominee? lol

I won't get into Cruz since we have yet to see how the current election goes, but he's clearly not the most electable candidate in the world either.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #4 on: July 03, 2016, 04:42:01 PM »

No, it's about time NH voters started listening to IA voters. NH voted for the eventual nominee all three times, and they might end up 0/3 in November.

The Republican Party will only start winning general elections once they nominate a true conservative.
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RaphaelDLG
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« Reply #5 on: July 03, 2016, 04:48:13 PM »

No, it's about time NH voters started listening to IA voters. NH voted for the eventual nominee all three times, and they might end up 0/3 in November.

If Clintons wins, she can thank NH women for trolling the GOP primary and voting for Trump. Brilliant strategy.

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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #6 on: July 03, 2016, 04:55:49 PM »
« Edited: July 03, 2016, 05:06:45 PM by Registrar General 1184AZ »

Probably not, Iowa is still considered very important by the media. I doubt a candidate could do poorly in Iowa and go on to win the nomination.  Anyways Rudy Giuliani tried that and it did not work out well at all. Also keep in mind even if a candidate has well established that they will ignore Iowa, it still probably would look bad in the eyes of most voters if a front runner finish 4th with 10% of the vote. John McCain is probably more of  an exception, after all he was surging in polls right up to Iowa anyways, and 2008 was such a wild year with no real strong front runner, in any other year I doubt someone would most likely pull off what McCain did.  
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: July 03, 2016, 05:18:42 PM »

Probably not, Iowa is still considered very important by the media. I doubt a candidate could do poorly in Iowa and go on to win the nomination.  Anyways Rudy Giuliani tried that and it did not work out well at all. Also keep in mind even if a candidate has well established that they will ignore Iowa, it still probably would look bad in the eyes of most voters if a front runner finish 4th with 10% of the vote. John McCain is probably more of  an exception, after all he was surging in polls right up to Iowa anyways, and 2008 was such a wild year with no real strong front runner, in any other year I doubt someone would most likely pull off what McCain did.  

Giuliani tried to skip everything besides Florida, not just Iowa.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #8 on: July 03, 2016, 05:20:39 PM »

Probably not, Iowa is still considered very important by the media. I doubt a candidate could do poorly in Iowa and go on to win the nomination.  Anyways Rudy Giuliani tried that and it did not work out well at all. Also keep in mind even if a candidate has well established that they will ignore Iowa, it still probably would look bad in the eyes of most voters if a front runner finish 4th with 10% of the vote. John McCain is probably more of  an exception, after all he was surging in polls right up to Iowa anyways, and 2008 was such a wild year with no real strong front runner, in any other year I doubt someone would most likely pull off what McCain did.   

Giuliani tried to skip everything besides Florida, not just Iowa.
I believe he did not pull out of NH until December though.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #9 on: July 03, 2016, 05:47:01 PM »

Kind of, they don't necessarily need to win it (actually if they want to win the nomination they probably don't want to win Iowa!) but they most likely need to do well. Only McCain has done pretty bad and then went on to do okay and win the nomination. I knew right after Iowa that it was pretty much a three way race between Trump, Cruz, and Rubio, despite whatever performances Bush, Christie, or Kasich put up in New Hampshire.

Unless there's a candidate from Iowa running (Harkin '92) than just ditch it and go to New Hampshire. That could happen in the future if Ernst decides to run (hopefully not).
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