Gary Johnson's best state?
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Poll
Question: In which state will Johnson receive his highest share of votes?
#1
Montana		  
#2
Alaska		  
#3
New Mexico		  
#4
Wyoming		  
#5
Utah		  
#6
Idaho		  
#7
Kansas		  
#8
North Dakota		  
#9
Nebraska		  
#10
South Dakota		  
#11
Indiana		  
#12
Maine		  
#13
New Hampshire		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: Gary Johnson's best state?  (Read 872 times)
cwt
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« on: June 19, 2016, 02:45:53 PM »
The shortlist is based on Nate Silver's projection:
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2016, 02:48:06 PM »
Alaska
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2016, 02:55:20 PM »
1. Utah
2. Alaska
3. New Mexico

Alaska will mostly be Sanders supporters who are left-libertarians.
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Human
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« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2016, 03:14:55 PM »
That chart is garbage.


Utah, obviously. Mormons hate Donald Trump.
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Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
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« Reply #4 on: June 19, 2016, 03:54:21 PM »
Probably the same as it was in 2012.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2016, 04:03:21 PM »
Interesting that so many of these are red states.
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LLR
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« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2016, 04:13:38 PM »
Utah, followed closely by Montana and Alaska. Where's that chart from?
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cwt
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« Reply #7 on: June 19, 2016, 04:46:54 PM »
Quote from: LLR on June 19, 2016, 04:13:38 PM
Utah, followed closely by Montana and Alaska. Where's that chart from?

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/744202366312914944/photo/1
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Figueira
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« Reply #8 on: June 19, 2016, 04:58:09 PM »
I don't see why Mormons would like Johnson, unless there's a Romney endorsement.

Voted NM, but I'm not at all confident in that.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2016, 05:10:20 PM »
I'd say Utah, though New Mexico is tempting.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
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« Reply #10 on: June 19, 2016, 05:10:29 PM »
Quote from: Figueira on June 19, 2016, 04:58:09 PM
I don't see why Mormons would like Johnson, unless there's a Romney endorsement.

They wouldn't, under "normal" circumstances. I don't buy "Johnson is competitive in Utah", but it may be his best result. Still within a single digits.

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Well, he did get 3.55% there in 2012. Probably from those remembering he was a Governor some 200 years ago.
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« Reply #11 on: June 19, 2016, 05:14:30 PM »
I think I'll go with Alaska. They have a history of supporting libertarians and third parties in general. Utah is a gamble. A lot depends on what Romney does. Montana and New Mexico will have good showings for him, but not as high as Alaska.

Maine will be his strongest state east of the Mississippi.

Quote from: Figueira on June 19, 2016, 04:58:09 PM
I don't see why Mormons would like Johnson, unless there's a Romney endorsement.

Voted NM, but I'm not at all confident in that.

The thought is that he would be a protest vote against Clinton and Trump.
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« Reply #12 on: June 19, 2016, 05:42:47 PM »
Utah, followed by Montana. 3rd place is New Mexico.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #13 on: June 19, 2016, 07:45:10 PM »
Utah, Idaho, and New Mexico. I'm not sure how much Mormons will be willing to vote for Johnson, considering his obvious views, but if they really do hate Trump that much, count on Idaho having a decent Johnson vote as well (28% Mormon). Some other natural states where libertarians should have an above average vote are Alaska, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, and the west coast.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #14 on: June 19, 2016, 10:34:36 PM »
Utah or Idaho, I'd guess.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #15 on: June 19, 2016, 10:46:57 PM »
Utah
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