How many pledged delegates will Hillary ultimately win by?

[Lyin' Steve]

Currently her lead is 1767-1488 or 279 pledged delegates.
Remaining states are
Virgin Islands (7)
Puerto Rico (60!!)  << how on earth does PR have so many delegates?
California (475)
Montana (21)
New Jersey (126)
New Mexico (34)
North Dakota (18)
South Dakota (20)
Washington DC (20)

My prediction:
+3 in VI (5-2)
+20 in PR (40-20)
+75 in California (275-200)
-5 in Montana (8-13)
+30 in New Jersey (78-48)
+6 in New Mexico (20-14)
-6 in North Dakota (6-12)
-2 in South Dakota (9-11)
+10 in DC (15-5)
Total:  +131 for a final lead of 410.

By the way she needs to win by +715 to reach Bernie's idiotic threshold of winning when superdelegates are only counted in the denominator but not the numerator.  Have fun trying to reach that.

[Gass3268]

I'm going to guess around 350.

[IceSpear]

My guess:

VI: +3
PR: +24
CA: +29
NJ: +20
NM: +4
DC: +8
MT: +7
ND: +8
SD: +2

So I'll say 300-350, though with 350-400 being very possible as well.

[Gass3268]

My guess:

VI: +3
PR: +24
CA: +29
NJ: +20
NM: +4
DC: +8
MT: +7
ND: +8
SD: +2

So I'll say 300-350, though with 350-400 being very possible as well.

South Dakota better not further screw up the map.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Virgin Islands is 90% black. I wouldn't be surprised if Sanders fails to reach viability.

Also, FWIW Benchmark released their numbers for the big 3 of the June 7 primaries.

California: 56-44 Clinton
New Jersey: 64-36 Clinton
New Mexico: 57-43 Clinton

[Xing]

Probably 330, give or take a few.

[Axel Foley]

Wonder if Hillary could sweep all Puerto Rico delegates... would be unreal to imagine Sanders under the 15% threshold there?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Wonder if Hillary could sweep all Puerto Rico delegates... would be unreal to imagine Sanders under the 15% threshold there?

It's possible. Bill got 95% there in 1992 even though he was still fighting with Jerry Brown.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

250-300. I think Sanders can pull off a narrow California win.

[Landslide Lyndon]

250-300. I think Sanders can pull off a narrow California win.

Even disregarding the demographic challenges, are you aware that he has decided not to air TV ads and that half his California staff has resigned?