Can Kasich pick up enough delegates to overtake Cruz for second place?
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  Can Kasich pick up enough delegates to overtake Cruz for second place?
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Author Topic: Can Kasich pick up enough delegates to overtake Cruz for second place?  (Read 622 times)
SillyAmerican
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« on: April 09, 2016, 05:52:30 PM »

Kasich is running ads in New York that are critical of Cruz's comments about New York values, and there are reports that his focus is now on making it to the GOP convention in second place. Given the makeup of the remaining states and their delegate allocation methods, do you think this is possible? Or is this just wishful thinking? (Cruz is currently at 532, Kasich at 143, so a 389 delegate deficit...).
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Fargobison
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« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2016, 05:54:07 PM »

I doubt he even passes Rubio, he has a campaign running on fumes.
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Erc
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« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2016, 06:02:01 PM »

Passing Rubio is possible, though not guaranteed.

Passing 200 would be quite good for him; would require him to actually win a state, though.

No way he passes Cruz, at least not on the first ballot.
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SillyAmerican
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« Reply #3 on: April 09, 2016, 06:08:24 PM »

Passing Rubio is possible, though not guaranteed.

Passing 200 would be quite good for him; would require him to actually win a state, though.

No way he passes Cruz, at least not on the first ballot.

What about a Kasich/Rubio teaming? Is that plausible?

Just wondering if Kasich has any hope of breathing new life into his effort...
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: April 09, 2016, 07:29:58 PM »

Passing Rubio is possible, though not guaranteed.

Passing 200 would be quite good for him; would require him to actually win a state, though.

No way he passes Cruz, at least not on the first ballot.

What about a Kasich/Rubio teaming? Is that plausible?

Just wondering if Kasich has any hope of breathing new life into his effort...

Problem is that Rubio can't actually control his delegates if he were to release them...and many of them would presumably just go to Cruz instead.

Rule 40-wise, Kasich would pick up DC almost certainly and possibly Puerto Rico, but would still be 5 states short.  Possible if he has big wins in PA & MD and bribes the other insular territories appropriately, but it would be a very long shot.
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PeteB
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« Reply #5 on: April 09, 2016, 08:11:35 PM »

I guess there are many ways to gain and control delegates:

CNN: Trump, Kasich box out Cruz in Michigan delegation
http://www.cnn.com/2016/04/09/politics/michigan-republican-delegates-ted-cruz-donald-trump-john-kasich/
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #6 on: April 09, 2016, 08:57:29 PM »

No
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #7 on: April 09, 2016, 08:58:07 PM »

There's more of a chance Rubio gets back in the race than Kasich overtaking Cruz.
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Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
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« Reply #8 on: April 09, 2016, 10:20:16 PM »

No, right now he wants to bring the nomination all the way to the convention.
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Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries
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« Reply #9 on: April 10, 2016, 06:30:50 AM »

If Kasich doesn't have more delegates than Rubio at this point, why is he being taken seriously?

Kasich gets a lot of mileage out of being the GOP candidate who polls the strongest against the Democrats, but how accurate is that if he can't win a single state in the primaries? 
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Wisconsin+17
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« Reply #10 on: April 10, 2016, 08:03:48 AM »

No. Kasich's problem is that Trump polls better than him where he polls best, and Cruz polls better than him in the places where Trump polls less well. Same problem as Rubio. Aside from Ohio.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #11 on: April 10, 2016, 08:22:15 AM »

No. Kay-SICK should be out of this race by all means. He's nothing more than a GOP-e spoiler at this point.

He has the same chance of winning the nomination on the first ballot than you and I do.
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