What is Kasich's path to the nomination?
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  What is Kasich's path to the nomination?
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Author Topic: What is Kasich's path to the nomination?  (Read 534 times)
Higgs
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« on: March 10, 2016, 12:33:13 AM »

Everyone is saying that he's got the best chance at winning the nom aside from Trump, but I just don't see how it happens. In the event of a brokered convention, which I think is Kasich's best case scenario, there's no way an establishment candidate gets chosen as the compromise candidate. The way I see it, it's either Cruz or Trump, Kasich can hope for VP but no more than that.
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #1 on: March 10, 2016, 12:35:44 AM »

Win every remaining state, except Florida, Missouri, and Illinois.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2 on: March 10, 2016, 12:42:48 AM »

Win every remaining state, except Florida, Missouri, and Illinois.

In short, there is none.
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: March 10, 2016, 12:44:45 AM »

Without a brokered convention, there isn't one.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: March 10, 2016, 12:44:53 AM »

Kasich and Rubio have no shot at the nomination. At this point, it's between Cruz and TRUMP.
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #5 on: March 10, 2016, 12:45:13 AM »

Win every remaining state, except Florida, Missouri, and Illinois.

In short, there is none.

If he doesn't at least win North Carolina on Tuesday he's already mathematically eliminated from winning on the first ballot.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: March 10, 2016, 01:01:51 AM »

Kasich and Rubio have no shot at the nomination. At this point, it's between Cruz and TRUMP.

Cruz has no shot either. Unless you mean at the convention. The only one who can possibly reach a majority at this point is Trump. Either he wins outright, or we get a contested convention.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #7 on: March 10, 2016, 01:05:59 AM »

Kasich and Rubio have no shot at the nomination. At this point, it's between Cruz and TRUMP.

Cruz has no shot either. Unless you mean at the convention. The only one who can possibly reach a majority at this point is Trump. Either he wins outright, or we get a contested convention.

Cruz has a very very small shot, but I believe he has one - that goes through winning big in the West and keeping his margins close in the east.
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PeteB
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« Reply #8 on: March 10, 2016, 01:38:27 AM »

Two paths are open to Kasich:

1. Win enough delegates to deny Trump the majority and go for a contested convention. Since the convention is in Ohio and hosted by "his people", h has a built in advantage!

2. Win OH, have Rubio drop out and make this into a Trump-Kasich fight, with Cruz in a minor role. While this looks like SF now, momentum has a way of turning things around!
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