The Nevada results are easy to predict.

[°Leprechaun]

It will be the same as SC, as far as the order of the candidates. Isn't that the safest prediction?
If I guess the margins it would only be a guess and I'd probably be wrong anyway, so why bother? The question is how it will effect the overall process. Probably not at all, unless a candidate drops out after a poor performance. The only upset would be if the results are different from SC which would be Cruz beats Rubio or Carson beats Kasich, the former being much more likely.

[°Leprechaun]

March 1 is easy as well. Trump and Clinton of course. Margins and delegates are what will matter. Even if Kasich and Carson drop out it will still be Trump and Clinton.

[°Leprechaun]

When will we see results tonight?

[°Leprechaun]

When will we see results tonight?

oh 8-12 never mind. Are we not going to see a projection of the winner before midnight, since all polls won't be closed until then?

[Maxwell]

It will be the same as SC, as far as the order of the candidates. Isn't that the safest prediction?
If I guess the margins it would only be a guess and I'd probably be wrong anyway, so why bother? The question is how it will effect the overall process. Probably not at all, unless a candidate drops out after a poor performance. The only upset would be if the results are different from SC which would be Cruz beats Rubio or Carson beats Kasich, the former being much more likely.

The percentage of Very Conservative voters in Nevada puts this in doubt - in 2012 it was up to 49%. Cruz tends to get around 30% with that group, meaning his floor is around 15%.

[°Leprechaun]

It will be the same as SC, as far as the order of the candidates. Isn't that the safest prediction?
If I guess the margins it would only be a guess and I'd probably be wrong anyway, so why bother? The question is how it will effect the overall process. Probably not at all, unless a candidate drops out after a poor performance. The only upset would be if the results are different from SC which would be Cruz beats Rubio or Carson beats Kasich, the former being much more likely.

The percentage of Very Conservative voters in Nevada puts this in doubt - in 2012 it was up to 49%. Cruz tends to get around 30% with that group, meaning his floor is around 15%.

So are you predicting second for Cruz?

[Maxwell]

It will be the same as SC, as far as the order of the candidates. Isn't that the safest prediction?
If I guess the margins it would only be a guess and I'd probably be wrong anyway, so why bother? The question is how it will effect the overall process. Probably not at all, unless a candidate drops out after a poor performance. The only upset would be if the results are different from SC which would be Cruz beats Rubio or Carson beats Kasich, the former being much more likely.

The percentage of Very Conservative voters in Nevada puts this in doubt - in 2012 it was up to 49%. Cruz tends to get around 30% with that group, meaning his floor is around 15%.

So are you predicting second for Cruz?

Narrowly - I had Cruz and Rubio both at 22%.

[°Leprechaun]

Does it seem odd that the Democrats have a town hall on the same night as the Republicans are having a caucus? I am much more interested in watching results from Nevada. Town halls and debates are getting  tiresome.

[This account no longer in use.]

I hope Cruz beats MARCO ANTONIO RUBIO-BARRIOS THE LAVENOUS.

[Flake]

I hope Cruz beats MARCO ANTONIO RUBIO-BARRIOS THE LAVENOUS.

that rainbow is the definition of committment

[Coolface Sock #42069]

I hope Cruz beats MARCO ANTONIO RUBIO-BARRIOS THE LAVENOUS.

that rainbow is the definition of committment

Yeah, please tell me that rainbow was the work of Visual Basic or some programming effort, otherwise that probably took forever