Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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Posts: 12,298
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« on: December 20, 2015, 09:37:29 PM » |
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Here's my take:
Clinton - Sweep IA and NH (or at least one of those two) and it's in the bag. Lose both of them and then throw a universe's pile of money at the big states. But really, just avoid major scandal.
Sanders - Sweep IA and NH, hope that a major scandal on Clinton emerges and hope that the Establishment won't bother with a late entrant.
O'unknown guy - Put your pretty face on every billboard in the country.
TRUMP - Come at least a respectable second in IA, win a solid victory in NH, pull off any kind of win in SC and then throw your heaps of cash at Super Tuesday.
Cruz - Win Iowa, preferably handily, ignore NH and move your entire campaign to SC in the lead up to the primary. Win there and you are the clear favorite.
Rubio - Pull out at least 20% in Iowa, throw everything at SC, win it...and then you are in a long haul battle with TRUMP and perhaps Cruz. The nomination can probably only be won in June or at the convention.
Carson - Hope that for whatever reason you become loved again for your soft-spoken debate performances.
Christie - Basically live in New Hampshire for the next, what is it, seven weeks and hope that something turns up.
Jeb! - Hope that Rubio and Christie fade out (most likely through scandal) and then for some reason the voters get cold feet about voting for TRUMP or Cruz and turn to you as you are a 'safe' bet.
Others - Hope that the above are abducted by aliens/have a group meeting at Dealey Plaza at the same time as Lee Harvey Oswald's ghost is having its monthly visit.
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