Morning Consult national poll: Clinton leads everyone by 5-11 pts
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  Morning Consult national poll: Clinton leads everyone by 5-11 pts
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Author Topic: Morning Consult national poll: Clinton leads everyone by 5-11 pts  (Read 1257 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: December 17, 2015, 05:49:40 AM »

Morning Consult national poll, conducted Dec. 11-15:

pdf link

Clinton 46%
Bush 38%

Clinton 46%
Christie 35%

Clinton 45%
Carson 39%

Clinton 45%
Rubio 36%

Clinton 46%
Trump 41%

Clinton 48%
Cruz 37%
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1 on: December 17, 2015, 06:09:57 AM »

Calling this poll junk would be an insult to trash.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: December 17, 2015, 08:05:08 AM »

Quinnipiac seems more realistic, although its the state by state polls that matter and the state by polls shows close races in Iowa, WI & Pa
 
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EliteLX
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« Reply #3 on: December 17, 2015, 08:24:59 AM »
« Edited: December 17, 2015, 10:25:24 AM by EliteLX »

Anyone else notice how all varieties of Morning Consult polls swing and sway polar each and every single week? They have random scattered results ever single poll, looks like it's happening with their primary polls as well. Usually outlier week after week.

They can't get a consistent trend for their life.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: December 17, 2015, 11:29:43 AM »

Calling this poll junk would be an insult to trash.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5 on: December 21, 2015, 11:02:26 AM »

Quinnipiac seems more realistic, although its the state by state polls that matter and the state by polls shows close races in Iowa, WI & Pa
 

Quinnipiac polls are from when the Republicans were preparing to grill Hillary Clinton about Benghazi and the private server. Those polls, if then accurate, are likely obsolete.  Races from before then in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin showed Hillary Clinton ahead -- way ahead in Wisconsin. 
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: December 21, 2015, 11:06:24 AM »

I was referring to the polls done in Iowa, & CO. We havent seen recent OH polls. But, its clear with dropoff of Obama's approvals, its not gonna be a 2012. But, Clinton has a slight edge, because the Telemundo polls showed her doing well with Latinos, which means Southwest.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #7 on: December 21, 2015, 12:25:28 PM »

I was referring to the polls done in Iowa, & CO. We havent seen recent OH polls. But, its clear with dropoff of Obama's approvals, its not gonna be a 2012. But, Clinton has a slight edge, because the Telemundo polls showed her doing well with Latinos, which means Southwest.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

His approval is not really that different from December 2011. It has been 46%, dipping a little because of the terror attacks.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #8 on: December 21, 2015, 01:44:34 PM »
« Edited: December 21, 2015, 01:47:01 PM by pbrower2a »

Anyone else notice how all varieties of Morning Consult polls swing and sway polar each and every single week? They have random scattered results ever single poll, looks like it's happening with their primary polls as well. Usually outlier week after week.

They can't get a consistent trend for their life.

Valid polls swing with events, the economy, and politicians' gaffes. Outliers were the reality in 2014.
 
All maps are obsolete from the time in which they are prepared.  That includes these maps (my creations!):


Hillary Clinton(D) vs. Ted Cruz (R)



Hillary Clinton vs. Carly Fiorina




Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio



Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump



30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

White -- tie or  someone leading with less than 40%.
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