Huffpo/YouGov - Rubio won the debate, Kasich bombed hard.
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  Huffpo/YouGov - Rubio won the debate, Kasich bombed hard.
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Author Topic: Huffpo/YouGov - Rubio won the debate, Kasich bombed hard.  (Read 1646 times)
Maxwell
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« on: November 15, 2015, 06:03:50 PM »

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/GOPRVtoplinesHPOPIFourthRepublicanDebate.pdf

Who won the kiddie debate?
53% Christie
14% None of the Above (ouch)
9% Jindal
5% Huckabee
3% Santorum

Improved Opinion/Worsened Opinion/Net

Christie - 41%/11%/+30
Huckabee - 20%/7%/+13
Jindal - 18%/23%/-5
Santorum - 9%/14%/-5

Who won the debate?

31% Rubio
19% Cruz
13% Carson
10% Trump
8% Paul
3% Bush
3% Fiorina
0% Kasich

Improved Opinion/Worsened Opinion/Net
Rubio - 46%/6%/+40 (wow)
Cruz - 36%/7%/+29
Carson - 32%/6%/+26 (lolwut)
Fiorina - 29%/5%/+24 (ayy lmao)
Trump - 20%/21%/-1
Paul - 13%/16%/-3 (ouch)
Bush - 10%/34%/-24 (Ouch)
Kasich - 3%/48%/-45 (DAMN)

Voters generally approved of the debate.


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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #1 on: November 15, 2015, 06:04:56 PM »

This poll should end the discussion of John Kasich as a serious candidate.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #2 on: November 15, 2015, 06:19:59 PM »

This poll should end the discussion of John Kasich as a serious candidate.
Stop it dude. Kasich is a VERY SERIOUS CANDIDATE.



BEN CARSON ISN'T THE ONLY CANDIDATE WITH GIFTED HANDS



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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #3 on: November 15, 2015, 08:57:46 PM »

Kasich is going to win 57 states, according to ModerateAtlasRepublicans.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #4 on: November 15, 2015, 09:17:57 PM »

Kasich is going to win 57 states, according to ModerateAtlasRepublicans.

Come on, dude, you once thought that he would win the nomination as well. Tongue

When he started to rise and didn't act like an arm flailing inflatable tube man who loves to rage and interrupt and whine he had a chance.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #5 on: November 15, 2015, 09:18:16 PM »

Kasich is going to win 57 states, according to ModerateAtlasRepublicans.

Come on, dude, you once thought that he would win the nomination as well. Tongue

I don't think we all imagined how badly he would do Tongue
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #6 on: November 15, 2015, 09:32:36 PM »

LOL, someone on here was just telling me that Bernie didn't have a chance against Kasich. Bring on the Lehman Brothers' senior executive from when they destroyed the world economy!
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Maxwell
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« Reply #7 on: November 15, 2015, 10:20:08 PM »

LOL, someone on here was just telling me that Bernie didn't have a chance against Kasich. Bring on the Lehman Brothers' senior executive from when they destroyed the world economy!

Kasich may be the only Republican who could lose to Bernie Sanders.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #8 on: November 16, 2015, 05:01:32 PM »

While this is Atlas's Favorite Candidate To Hate On:

Respondents: 314
MOE: ± 6.3% (adjusted for weighting)
Conducted: Web-based interviews

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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #9 on: November 16, 2015, 05:19:20 PM »

While this is Atlas's Favorite Candidate To Hate On:

Respondents: 314
MOE: ± 6.3% (adjusted for weighting)
Conducted: Web-based interviews


I don't see what's wrong with the number of respondents, though the margin of error is a bit wacky and web-based interviews are obviously sketch.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #10 on: November 16, 2015, 09:26:38 PM »

While this is Atlas's Favorite Candidate To Hate On:

Respondents: 314
MOE: ± 6.3% (adjusted for weighting)
Conducted: Web-based interviews


I don't see what's wrong with the number of respondents, though the margin of error is a bit wacky and web-based interviews are obviously sketch.

The average # of respondents is ~900 or so. MOE: 6.3%+Internet Poll?

TRASH IT.
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mvd10
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« Reply #11 on: November 17, 2015, 03:28:09 AM »

Kasich is going to win 57 states, according to ModerateAtlasRepublicans.

Come on, dude, you once thought that he would win the nomination as well. Tongue

When he started to rise and didn't act like an arm flailing inflatable tube man who loves to rage and interrupt and whine he had a chance.

I always thought that was the best way to win a republican primary lol.

It's a shame Kasich is going nowhere, I quite like him. I suppose he will stay in until New Hampshire and drop out after he lost there (unless he somehow manages to win but I seriously doubt that). These performances probably are hurting his chances to be someone's (Rubio's) running mate too.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #12 on: November 19, 2015, 09:44:35 PM »

Kasich needs to get out and salvage his respect before his approval rating starts to tank in his home state. As of now he's still in good shape to campaign for the nominee in Ohio, a critical swing state.
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mencken
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« Reply #13 on: November 19, 2015, 10:25:40 PM »

While this is Atlas's Favorite Candidate To Hate On:

Respondents: 314
MOE: ± 6.3% (adjusted for weighting)
Conducted: Web-based interviews


I don't see what's wrong with the number of respondents, though the margin of error is a bit wacky and web-based interviews are obviously sketch.

The average # of respondents is ~900 or so. MOE: 6.3%+Internet Poll?

TRASH IT.

You are totally right. Kasich may have actually improved his opinion for a whopping 9% of voters (and ruined it for only 42%)
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #14 on: November 21, 2015, 03:12:12 PM »

While this is Atlas's Favorite Candidate To Hate On:

Respondents: 314
MOE: ± 6.3% (adjusted for weighting)
Conducted: Web-based interviews


I don't see what's wrong with the number of respondents, though the margin of error is a bit wacky and web-based interviews are obviously sketch.

The average # of respondents is ~900 or so. MOE: 6.3%+Internet Poll?

TRASH IT.

You are totally right. Kasich may have actually improved his opinion for a whopping 9% of voters (and ruined it for only 42%)

Internet Poll:
Carson - 55%
Clinton- 42%

"TRASH IT!!!!!"

Internet Poll:
Vitter - 53%
Edwards - 45%

"TRASH IT!!!!!"

Internet Poll:
Kasich - Bad

"OBV REAL; MOE ACC; #KASICHSHRILLS"
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #15 on: November 21, 2015, 03:15:19 PM »

Kasich is going to win 57 states, according to ModerateAtlasRepublicans.

I said his ceiling is 360 electoral votes
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #16 on: November 21, 2015, 03:16:18 PM »

LOL, someone on here was just telling me that Bernie didn't have a chance against Kasich. Bring on the Lehman Brothers' senior executive from when they destroyed the world economy!

Kasich may be the only Republican who could lose to Bernie Sanders.

Trump, Cruz, Carson. Kasich would win 353 electoral votes vs Sanders
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Sumner 1868
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« Reply #17 on: November 21, 2015, 03:48:45 PM »

LOL, someone on here was just telling me that Bernie didn't have a chance against Kasich. Bring on the Lehman Brothers' senior executive from when they destroyed the world economy!

Kasich may be the only Republican who could lose to Bernie Sanders.

Trump, Cruz, Carson. Kasich would win 353 electoral votes vs Sanders

You keep saying that, but polls keep showing Sanders at roughly Kerry 2004 levels.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #18 on: November 21, 2015, 03:51:31 PM »

LOL, someone on here was just telling me that Bernie didn't have a chance against Kasich. Bring on the Lehman Brothers' senior executive from when they destroyed the world economy!

Kasich may be the only Republican who could lose to Bernie Sanders.

Trump, Cruz, Carson. Kasich would win 353 electoral votes vs Sanders

You keep saying that, but polls keep showing Sanders at roughly Kerry 2004 levels.

Not against Kasich, against crazy people like Trump, Carson and Cruz yes.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #19 on: November 24, 2015, 01:55:29 AM »

Kasich is going to win 57 states, according to ModerateAtlasRepublicans.

I said his ceiling is 360 electoral votes


360: Gov. John Kasich(R-OH)/Rep. Gregory Walden(R-OR) - 52.7%
178: Sen. Bernie Sanders(D-VT)/Gov. Steve Bullock(D-MT) - 45.0%
Other: 2.2%
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mencken
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« Reply #20 on: November 24, 2015, 02:21:05 AM »

While this is Atlas's Favorite Candidate To Hate On:

Respondents: 314
MOE: ± 6.3% (adjusted for weighting)
Conducted: Web-based interviews


I don't see what's wrong with the number of respondents, though the margin of error is a bit wacky and web-based interviews are obviously sketch.

The average # of respondents is ~900 or so. MOE: 6.3%+Internet Poll?

TRASH IT.

You are totally right. Kasich may have actually improved his opinion for a whopping 9% of voters (and ruined it for only 42%)

Internet Poll:
Carson - 55%
Clinton- 42%

"TRASH IT!!!!!"

Internet Poll:
Vitter - 53%
Edwards - 45%

"TRASH IT!!!!!"

Internet Poll:
Kasich - Bad

"OBV REAL; MOE ACC; #KASICHSHRILLS"

An internet poll with a high margin of error might be sufficient reason to view an 8 point or even a 13 point margin skeptically. However, it is insufficient to explain away a 45-point deficit.
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RR1997
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« Reply #21 on: December 07, 2015, 11:41:31 PM »

LOL, someone on here was just telling me that Bernie didn't have a chance against Kasich. Bring on the Lehman Brothers' senior executive from when they destroyed the world economy!

Kasich may be the only Republican who could lose to Bernie Sanders.
No

Kasich probably wouldn't lose to Sanders (although Kasich would BARELY win), but Trump, Carson, and Cruz would lose badly to Sanders.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #22 on: December 07, 2015, 11:53:04 PM »

Kasich is going to win 57 states, according to ModerateAtlasRepublicans.

I said his ceiling is 360 electoral votes


360: Gov. John Kasich(R-OH)/Rep. Gregory Walden(R-OR) - 52.7%
178: Sen. Bernie Sanders(D-VT)/Gov. Steve Bullock(D-MT) - 45.0%
Other: 2.2%

I don't think Kasich carries Oregon or Minnesota in this scenario. Minnesota actually strikes me as a rather good fit for Sanders.
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