RCP's GOP delegate calculator

[Mr. Morden]

Have you guys seen this?

link

It's fun to play with.  I will say that I disagree with some of their advice on how to use it:

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I'd say that you probably almost always want to boost the CD delegate allocation towards the winning candidates.  Or at least away from the losing candidates.  Think about it.  If you have a 4-way race, and a state where it's:

Candidate 1: 35%
Candidate 2: 30%
Candidate 3: 25%
Candidate 4: 10%

Candidate 4 is probably not winning any congressional districts.

Anyway, more commentary here:

http://frontloading.blogspot.com.au/2015/11/a-request-dont-use-rcp-delegate.html

Including this plot of how the delegate race would have gone in 2012 if they'd used the 2016 calendar, and 2016 delegate allocation:

[President Johnson]

I played it a couple of times, but the result was always a vote on the convention floor.