Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
Posts: 17,821
Political Matrix E: -4.06, S: -6.52
|
|
« Reply #25 on: September 02, 2015, 12:28:17 PM » |
|
There are three things that could take out Putin:
1) An Orange Revolution/Euromaidan-style protest campaign led by liberal pro-Westerners (not gonna happen)
2) A challenge from the right by diehard ex-Soviets thinking that Putin "lost" them Ukraine, Georgia, Belarus, and maybe even some other places. (Possible, but unlikely)
3) A challenge within his own party/inner circle by disgruntled oligarchs who see Putin as damaging their bottom line with his shenanigans, yet who are generally sympathetic to his causes. In this scenario, either United Russia splits, or rallies around another candidate who can bring stability. (This is the most likely scenario in my mind)
However, none of these will likely play out within two years, so I vote yes.
|