Morning Consult: Trump Leads GOP Field, No Slump After Attacks on McCain
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  Morning Consult: Trump Leads GOP Field, No Slump After Attacks on McCain
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Author Topic: Morning Consult: Trump Leads GOP Field, No Slump After Attacks on McCain  (Read 2448 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« on: July 21, 2015, 05:31:15 PM »

http://morningconsult.com/2015/07/trump-leads-gop-field-no-slump-after-attacks-on-mccain/

A new Morning Consult poll finds Trump leading the Republican field with 22 percent of the vote, well ahead of former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who clocks in with 15 percent, and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, in third place with 12 percent.

No other Republican breaks into double digits. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson receives 8 percent of the vote, with former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 7 percent, Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.) at 6 percent and Sen. Rand Paul (Ky.) at 5 percent. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas) are tied at 4 percent apiece.

...

There is no evidence that Trump’s numbers have slumped after comments he made questioning Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) war record. Though most of the rest of the Republican field — and even the Republican National Committee — loudly criticized Trump after he made the comments on Saturday morning at an event in Iowa, voters interviewed afterward weren’t any less likely to say they support him.

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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2015, 05:53:06 PM »

Is this a legitimate pollster? It doesn't seem to be on RCP.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #2 on: July 21, 2015, 06:00:00 PM »
« Edited: July 21, 2015, 06:06:27 PM by Simfan34 »

Who?

EDIT: Their "about" page says this about them-

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Politico says:

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I mean... I guess they make it sound reputable. Looks like they mainly do internals and use a mix of landline and online polls.
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Gallium
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« Reply #3 on: July 21, 2015, 06:09:43 PM »

Is this a legitimate pollster? It doesn't seem to be on RCP.

Copying this from earlier post:
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #4 on: July 21, 2015, 06:11:43 PM »

Hm, well the results appear to be in line with other polls.
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Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #5 on: July 21, 2015, 07:12:28 PM »

About half the poll was conducted before the McCain incident and about half was after it.
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Donerail
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« Reply #6 on: July 21, 2015, 07:13:27 PM »

Between this and the Monmouth poll of Iowa, it seems like Trump will survive this scandal as well.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: July 21, 2015, 07:14:26 PM »

LOL @ the Trump haters desperately unskewing the numbers. Despite the sanctimonious attempts of the biased joke media in this country, Trump remains the frontrunner.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #8 on: July 21, 2015, 07:17:27 PM »

Well, if Trump can weather this, he could pretty much weather anything. These people know who Trump is. They expect madness. They're getting what they want. It's kind of scary.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #9 on: July 21, 2015, 07:27:08 PM »

At this point I don't know how this ends.  The debates are going to be chaos.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: July 21, 2015, 09:19:11 PM »

Trump 22%
Bush 15%
Walker 12%
Carson 8%
Huckabee 7%
Rubio 6%
Paul 5%
Christie 4%
Cruz 4%

In the plot shown on their release:

http://morningconsult.com/2015/07/trump-leads-gop-field-no-slump-after-attacks-on-mccain/

it looks like they also polled Fiorina at about 3%, but I don't see that mentioned in the writeup.
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Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #11 on: July 21, 2015, 10:51:10 PM »

At this point I don't know how this ends.  The debates are going to be chaos.

It's going to be beautiful, isn't it?
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Crumpets
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« Reply #12 on: July 22, 2015, 12:56:06 AM »

At this point I don't know how this ends.  The debates are going to be chaos.

It's going to be beautiful, isn't it?

Can you imagine telling someone in 2013 that not only is Christie barely going to make the debate (if he does), but that he will be nowhere near the biggest bully on the stage?
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