Subjective odds that candidates win the nomination

[SPC]

Forum consensus (averaging the eight post-Romney predictions) seems to be:
Bush ~26%
Walker ~24%
Paul ~15%
Huckabee ~6%
Christie ~6%
Rubio ~5%
Cruz ~5%
Field ~13%

Pretty close to where 538 has it, except we are more bullish on Paul and Cruz and more bearish on Rubio.

[Mehmentum]

Personally, I like our subjective odds better than 538's.

[Orser67]

25% Bush
15% Walker
15% Rubio
10% Paul
5% Huckabee
5% Christie
5% Kasich
5% Pence
3% Perry
2% Cruz
2% Jindal
2% Santorum

Kasich and Pence would both be higher if I thought they were definitely running

[King]

I like how they included Christie's neck fat in his cutout.

[MATTROSE94]

Republicans:
40.1% Jeb Bush
39.9% Scott Walker
14% Ted Cruz
1% Chris Christie
1% Rand Paul
1% Ben Carson
1% Mike Huckabee
1% Lindsey Graham
1% Other (Rick Santorum, Bob Ehrlich, Sarah Palin, George Pataki, etc.)

Democrats:
96% Hillary Clinton
1% Jim Webb
1% Martin O'Malley
1% Bernie Samders
1% Other

[VPH]

GOP
Jeb Bush: 25%
Scott Walker: 20%
Chris Christie: 18%
Marco Rubio: 14%
Rand Paul: 9%
John Kasich: 8%
Bobby Jindal: 3%
Field: 3%

Democrats
Hillary Clinton: 82%
Joe Biden: 6%
Martin O'Malley: 5%
Jim Webb: 4%
Field: 2%
Bernie Sanders: 1%